Jasmine Paolini vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Elena Rybakina has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 43.34% of points, compared to Jasmine Paolini's 42.19%. Could this be a key area where Rybakina takes the lead?
• Looking at return stats, Paolini has a slight advantage on opponents' second serves, winning 48.20% of points compared to Rybakina's 47.67%.
• Paolini also surpasses Rybakina in first serve returns, with a 35.28% success rate against Rybakina’s 25.69%. Could this give Paolini the upper hand in breaking serve?
• Under pressure, Rybakina has saved more breakpoints (57.14%) than Paolini (47.81%). This could be crucial when the match gets tight.
• Their overall match performance over the last year is remarkably similar, with Rybakina having a slight edge, winning 71.23% of matches compared to Paolini's 71.01%.
• Surface preferences show Rybakina performs best on Grass, winning 73%, while Paolini favors Clay, also winning 73%. What does this mean if the match isn’t played on their favored surfaces?
• At the Masters series events, Paolini has a higher win rate (71.05%) than Rybakina (63.64%).
• Their head-to-head record is evenly matched, standing at 2-2, with the same number of sets won, 6 each.
• In deciding sets, Paolini has the edge, winning 67% against Rybakina’s 54% over the last 12 months.
• Playing against tougher opponents might give Paolini a slight edge, as her recent opponents have had a higher average rank than Rybakina’s.

Editorial Prediction (October 17, 2025, UTC):

Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini have presented closely matched statistics over the past year, with slight differences in their strengths and weaknesses. Rybakina's superior performance on Grass might not play a decisive role unless the match is on that surface, but her ability to save breakpoints under pressure is commendable.

Conversely, Paolini boasts stronger return game stats, particularly on the first serve. Her ability to handle deciding sets robustly may provide an advantage in a closely contested encounter.

Both players have demonstrated resilience in previous head-to-head matchups, but given recent trends and Paolini’s ability to thrive under similar competitive conditions, she might emerge as the favorite to win in this upcoming match.