Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a slight edge, winning 46.80% of such points compared to Jannik Sinner's 41.45%. Does this give Alcaraz a noticeable advantage? Yes, it does provide a solid link to likely match outcomes.
• When it comes to returning games, Alcaraz also holds a lead, winning 41.40% of his opponent's second serve points versus Sinner's 40.24%. In first serve returns, Alcaraz again surpasses Sinner, 23.53% to 19.72%.
• Under pressure, both players are quite competent, but Alcaraz slightly outperforms Sinner in saving break points, 55.23% to 54.24%.
• Although both have similar match-winning records over the past year, Sinner edges Alcaraz with a 91.04% win rate compared to 90.00% for Alcaraz.
• Carlos Alcaraz excels on Grass with a 90% win rate, whereas Sinner shines on Indoor Hard surfaces with the same win percentage.
• Grand Slam performances are nearly identical for both Alcaraz and Sinner, with win rates of 92.31% and 92.86%, respectively.
• In direct encounters, Alcaraz leads with 10 victories against Sinner's 5 across 16 matches, translating into an advantage for Alcaraz in their rivalry.
• Matches between these two tend to last almost three hours, with Alcaraz more successful in deciding sets, winning 6 out of 8.
• Alcaraz has a slight advantage in tiebreaks against Sinner, winning 9 compared to Sinner's 5.
• Opponent quality insights reveal Sinner has faced slightly stronger competition, with an average opponent rank of 36.63, compared to Alcaraz's 48.46.
• For recent break point conversion, Alcaraz significantly outperforms Sinner, converting 29.67% compared to Sinner's 21.56%.

Editorial Prediction (November 16, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the latest player statistics, Carlos Alcaraz demonstrates a consistent edge over Jannik Sinner in key performance areas. His superior second serve success rate and return game efficiency highlight his ability to pressure and convert vital points.

Alcaraz's slight advantage in saving break points, combined with his successful conversion of those opportunities, bolsters his potential competitive edge. Furthermore, historical data from their head-to-head matches favor Alcaraz, especially when under crucial conditions such as deciding sets and tiebreaks.

Although Jannik Sinner boasts a marginally better match win rate against tougher opponents, the cumulative strengths in Alcaraz's game suggest he is more likely to claim victory in their upcoming match.

Overall, considering past performance trends and match dynamics, Carlos Alcaraz stands as the predicted winner for the forthcoming encounter against Jannik Sinner.