Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining recent second serve performances, Joao Fonseca has a slight edge over Jakub Mensik with a 49.38% win rate compared to Mensik's 48.51%.
• In returning performance on second serves, Mensik shows a stronger capability, winning 45.72% of points against his opponents' second serves versus Fonseca's 43.23%.
• Conversely, Fonseca performs marginally better on first serve returns with a win rate of 22.95% compared to Mensik's 22.75%.
• Under pressure, Fonseca is more adept with saving breakpoints, achieving a 59.44% save rate, while Mensik underperforms in this aspect with 55.09%.
• Over the past year, Fonseca boasts a higher match win percentage (69.70%) compared to Mensik's 57.81%.
• Their best career surface is the same; both excel on hard courts with a 69% win rate.
• While Mensik has played mainly on the Main tour with a win rate of 47.83%, Fonseca's impressive form in Challengers/ITF events is evident with a 76.19% win rate.
• In their head-to-head competition, Fonseca leads with one match victory out of their encounter.
• Fonseca handles deciding sets better, winning 67% of them, while Mensik only wins 38%.
• Against higher-ranked opponents, Mensik's average opponent rank is 70.52, indicating he generally faces tougher competition compared to Fonseca's opponent average rank of 103.83.
• Fonseca won their previous encounter at the Next Gen ATP Finals, indicating a mental and tactical edge in their recent head-to-head matchups.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the head-to-head and individual performance statistics, Joao Fonseca demonstrates a slight upper hand in several key areas.

He excels in second serve consistency and first serve returns, critical components in sustaining rallies and putting pressure on Mensik.

Although Mensik showcases a strong return game on opponents' second serves, Fonseca's overall advantage in handling breakpoints and deciding sets provides him a competitive edge under high-pressure situations.

Moreover, Fonseca's higher win percentage over the past year and superior performance in deciding sets further solidify his position as the likely winner.

Thus, Joao Fonseca is the predicted favorite to win the upcoming match against Jakub Mensik, leveraging his recent form, head-to-head success, and consistency under pressure.