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Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Draper vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Draper 1 - 2 Alcaraz

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Draper has won 51.13% of points on their second serve, while Alcaraz has won 57.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Draper, in recent form, has won 51.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 57.52%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.32% and 36.32% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Draper has saved 58.33% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 63.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Draper has won 67.19% of matches played (W/L 43/ 21), with Alcaraz winning 79.1% (W/L 53/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Draper has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 76% (W/L 72/ 23), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 23/ 18). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 85% (W/L 17/ 3), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Draper has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 70.97% of matches (W/L 22/ 9), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Draper winning 1 times and Alcaraz being victorious 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Draper winning 3 and Alcaraz winning 4. The last match between Draper and Alcaraz was at the cinch Championships - London, 20-06-2024, Second, Grass with Jack Draper getting the victory 7-6(3) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:34:25.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Draper and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 1 times, with Draper winning 0 times and Alcaraz 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Draper winning 1, and Alcaraz 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Draper has played against opponents with an average rank of 154.77 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 98.28.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Draper has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Draper has converted 43.16% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 45.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Jack Draper

13

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

7

Minor

29

Rank

29

High

22

Age

L

Plays

1

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

3

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

Carlos Alcaraz

21

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

3

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

L L W W W W W W W L

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

69% (209-95)

Career Total W/L

79% (256-69)

61% (20-13)

YTD W/L

81% (26-6)

$1,580,085

Career Prize Money

$21,343,630

1

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Draper VS Alcaraz H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jack Draper Carlos Alcaraz
All H2H Matches 1 2
Sets Won 3 4
Games Won 28 33
Aces (Total) 18 11
DFs Total 8 3
Avg Match Time 1:34:25 1:34:25
1st Serve % 63% (117/185) 73% (140/193)
1st Serve Win% 69% (81/117) 72% (101/140)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (36/68) 51% (27/53)
BPs Won% (Total) 29% (4/14) 47% (7/15)
Return Points W% 34% (65/193) 37% (68/185)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 50% (2/1)

Draper VS Alcaraz H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(3) 6-3
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59% ( 39 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 50 of 75)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 25 of 75)
75
Total Points Won
66
6-2 2-0 ret.
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jack Draper
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve %
65% ( 22 of 34)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 16 of 20)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
86% ( 6 of 7)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
19% ( 5 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
41
Total Points Won
20
3-6 6-2 7-5
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jack Draper
77% ( 70 of 91)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
1
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
4
67% ( 47 of 70)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 38 of 56)
43% ( 9 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 35 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 33 of 85)
89
Total Points Won
87

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jack Draper Carlos Alcaraz
YTD W/L 61% (20/13) 81% (26/6)
Sets Win/Loss 58% (52/37) 76% (65/20)
Games Win/Loss 54% (466/405) 60% (466/312)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (9/6) 87% (13/2)
Clay Win/Loss 40% (4/6) 80% (12/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 88% (7/1) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.63 0.27
Aces Total 268 102
DFs per game 0.23 0.16
DFs Total 99 61
Avg Match Time 2:1:30 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 108.36 121.47
1st Serve % 59% (1509/2573) 67% (1590/2366)
1st Serve W% 78% (1180/1509) 72% (1138/1590)
2nd Serve W% 51% (544/1064) 57% (443/776)
BPs Won% Total 43% (101/234) 45% (133/295)
Return Pts W% 37% (1017/2737) 44% (1113/2550)
Slam W/L 33% (1/2) 92% (11/1)
Masters W/L 38% (3/5) 86% (12/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 73% (16/6) 50% (3/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 66% (19/29) 79% (15/19)
Best of 5 Sets W% 25% (1/4) 92% (11/12)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (9/15) 62% (8/13)
Deciding Set W% 50% (8/16) 83% (5/6)
1st set W, W 80% (20/16) 96% (24/23)
1st set W, L 20% (20/4) 4% (24/1)
1st set L, W 31% (13/4) 43% (7/3)

Jack Draper Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jack Draper
60% ( 57 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 37 of 46)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
90
Total Points Won
86
L
6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59% ( 39 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 50 of 75)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 25 of 75)
75
Total Points Won
66
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Mariano Navone
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve %
60% ( 34 of 57)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
4
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
90% ( 9 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
11% ( 4 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
34
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Matteo Berrettini
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
68% ( 66 of 97)
12
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
3
87% ( 47 of 54)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 55 of 66)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
24% ( 20 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 26 of 97)
91
Total Points Won
91
W
3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Brandon Nakashima
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
13
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
3
94% ( 31 of 33)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 67)
66
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Frances Tiafoe
65% ( 62 of 95)
1st Serve %
69% ( 82 of 118)
31
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
3
85% ( 53 of 62)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 60 of 82)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 22 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 41 of 118)
114
Total Points Won
99
W
5-7 6-4 7-6(1) H2H
R2
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Marcos Giron
64% ( 55 of 86)
1st Serve %
54% ( 49 of 91)
9
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
0
84% ( 46 of 55)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
48% ( 15 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 32 of 91)
93
Total Points Won
84
W
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Sebastian Ofner
60% ( 46 of 77)
1st Serve %
56% ( 48 of 85)
8
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
5
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 36 of 48)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
26% ( 20 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 27 of 85)
84
Total Points Won
78
W
7-6(4) 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Jesper De Jong
Player
Jack Draper
50% ( 77 of 154)
1st Serve %
50% ( 75 of 149)
11
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
9
74% ( 57 of 77)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 51 of 75)
52% ( 40 of 77)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 38 of 74)
90% ( 9 of 10)
Break Points Won
64% ( 7 of 11)
37% ( 57 of 154)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 60 of 149)
157
Total Points Won
146
L
7-5 6-4 6-7(3) 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Jack Draper
65% ( 60 of 93)
1st Serve %
49% ( 28 of 57)
6
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
5
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 23 of 28)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 19 of 57)
82
Total Points Won
68
L
7-6(6) 6-1 H2H

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59% ( 39 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 50 of 75)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 25 of 75)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
59% ( 33 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 26 of 54)
67
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 96 of 159)
1st Serve %
73% ( 97 of 133)
3
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
6
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 61 of 97)
49% ( 31 of 63)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
42% ( 66 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 60 of 133)
153
Total Points Won
139
W
6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
66% ( 103 of 157)
1st Serve %
56% ( 76 of 135)
8
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
8
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
41% ( 64 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 52 of 135)
145
Total Points Won
147
W
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H

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