Jack Draper vs Alexei Popyrin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• What's notable about second serve performance? Popyrin slightly outperforms Draper, winning 46.88% compared to Draper's 45.56% in the last six months.
• Popyrin has a marginal edge in winning opponents' second serve points, with a success rate of 44.28% versus Draper's 44.17%.
• For first serve returns, Popyrin again leads slightly, winning 24.98% of points compared to Draper's 23.65%.
• Under pressure, Popyrin saves 61.5% of breakpoints, just ahead of Draper's 58.55%.
• Should past match outcomes be considered? Over the past year, Draper has a superior match win rate of 73.02%, compared to Popyrin’s 54.55%.
• Surface preference shows Popyrin excels on Clay at 57%, while Draper performs best on I.hard courts with a 74% win rate.
• Both players frequently compete at the Masters series level, but Draper holds a higher success rate of 74.07% versus Popyrin's 63.64%.
• In their direct H2H, Draper leads, having won their only match, including both sets played.
• In high-pressure tiebreak situations, Draper again proves superior, winning the only tiebreak they played.
• Opponent quality highlights Draper facing higher-ranked players, with an average rank of 46.03, compared to Popyrin’s 60.64.
• In deciding set scenarios, Draper has won 68% over the past year, outperforming Popyrin's 56%.
• Is breakpoint conversion a key factor? Draper excels, converting 32.26% of opportunities, ahead of Popyrin's 20.86%.

Editorial Prediction (June 18, 2025, UTC):

Based on second serve performance, Popyrin holds a slight edge over Draper. However, Draper's superior first serve return statistics and proficiency in converting breakpoints provide him with a distinct advantage.

While Popyrin's ability to save breakpoints under pressure is noteworthy, Draper's overall stronger performance—reflected in his higher winning percentage and success in head-to-head matchups—cannot be overlooked.

Given the fact that Draper has been competing against higher-ranked players and prevailing in deciding set situations more frequently, he demonstrates stronger endurance and adaptability.

Taking into account past performances, surface adaptability, and historical head-to-head results, Jack Draper emerges as the likely favorite to win in the upcoming match against Alexei Popyrin.