Prediction of Iryna Shymanovich vs Gabriela Lee at W100 Edmond 10-08-25

• Second Serve Performance: Gabriela Lee wins 39.97% of points on her second serve, while Iryna Shymanovich edges ahead with 40.97%. Does this give Shymanovich the upper hand? It could be beneficial in tight matches.
• Return Game Stats: Lee claims 48.97% of her opponent's second serve points, whereas Shymanovich garners a slightly higher 50.73%. Meanwhile, Lee excels in first serve returns with 36.01%, compared to Shymanovich's 31.75%.
• Pressure Handling: Under pressure, Shymanovich has preserved 50.40% of breakpoints, a bit higher than Lee’s 47.18%. Can this influence pivotal game moments? Yes, it often sways outcomes.
• Match Wins: Over the past year, Lee's match win rate stands at 50.98%, in contrast to Shymanovich's robust 62.50%, signaling Shymanovich's better form.
• Ideal Surface: Both players peak on clay with a 60% win rate. However, on grass, Lee is slightly less proficient at 17%, compared to Shymanovich at 20%.
• Competitive Level: Both have mostly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments >$10K. Shymanovich exhibits superior results, winning 65.38% of her matches versus Lee's 52.00%.
• Opponent Quality: Lee has faced players with an average rank of 354.65, compared to Shymanovich's encounters with higher-ranked opponents averaging 287.08.
• Deciding Set Matches: When facing a deciding set, Shymanovich has won 58% of those encounters, slightly outperforming Lee's record of 53%.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

Iryna Shymanovich demonstrates slight advantages in several key areas. Her superior second serve performance and higher breakpoint saving percentage suggest an edge in critical situations.

Furthermore, her stronger winning record over the past year highlights her effective competitive manner. Playing against higher-ranked opponents may also contribute to her resilience and battle readiness.

With both athletes excelling on clay, the supplementary aspects tilt in Shymanovich's favor. Given these evaluative factors, Iryna Shymanovich is the likely candidate to secure victory in this matchup.