Prediction of Ignacio Parisca vs Max Alcala Gurri at M15 Madrid 12-03-25

• Second Serve Performance: How does Max Alcala Gurri compare to Ignacio Parisca in recent months? Gurri has a 40.47% success rate on second serve points, slightly behind Parisca's 42.03%.
• Return Game Stats: Who shows more prowess in return games? Gurri has won 50.00% of opponents' second serve points compared to Parisca's 47.48%. In first serve returns, Gurri has also slightly outperformed Parisca with 34.66% against 32.61%.
• Break Point Resilience: Under pressure, Parisca has saved more break points at 49.34%, as opposed to Gurri's 45.73%.
• Win Rate Comparison: Gurri has a higher win rate over the last year with 63.64%, whereas Parisca has 57.58%.
• Surface Preference: Both players excel on clay with a win rate of 61%. Gurri, however, shows a better overall career performance with more matches played.
• Level of Competition: Who has faced tougher opponents? Parisca has competed against players with a higher average rank (326.97) compared to Gurri's (461.27).
• Head-to-Head Record: In their direct encounters, Gurri has dominated with a 2-0 record over Parisca, winning all sets played.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match goes to a third set, Gurri has been more successful, winning 65% of such situations compared to Parisca's 44%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Both players show similar efficacy, with Gurri doing slightly better at converting 38.71% of breaking opportunities compared to Parisca's 37.91%.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating both players' form and skill, Max Alcala Gurri demonstrates a slight edge in various performance metrics. His ability to win key points on return and exceptional track record on clay surfaces bolsters his chances.

While Ignacio Parisca shows resilience in high-pressure situations, Gurri's superior head-to-head performance against Parisca, combined with his recent match success, suggests a tactical advantage.

Considering both historical data and recent form, Max Alcala Gurri appears to be the favorite to win this upcoming tennis match.