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Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - 03-17-24

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Sakkari analysis and find out who is favored!

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Swiatek VS Sakkari PREDICTION Hard

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells wta

17 Mar 2024 / Final

ODDS
PREDICTION
VALUE

Iga Swiatek

To Win

83.91%
1.07

Maria Sakkari

To Win

16.09%
0.73

Match Overview - When Will They Play?

Iga Swiatek takes on Maria Sakkari in the WTA BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Women's Singles 2024 on March 17, 2024. Our Expert betting tips are based on over 200,000 past match simulations. When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page.

Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.1% of points on his second serve, while Sakkari has won 47.82%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 61.88% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sakkari has won 54.63%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.72% and 36.96% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 64.19% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sakkari has saved 63.18% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 88.75% of matches played (W/L 71/ 9), with Sakkari winning 60% (W/L 33/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 111/ 16), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Sakkari has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 167/ 99), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 27/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 88.1% of matches (W/L 37/ 5), where as Sakkari has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.33% of matches (W/L 19/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Swiatek winning 2 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 4 and Sakkari winning 6. The last match between Swiatek and Sakkari was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 20-03-2022, Final, Hard with Iga Swiatek getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:32:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Sakkari have played a deciding set 0 times, with Swiatek winning 0 times and Sakkari 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 0, and Sakkari 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 73.83 while Sakkari has played against players with an average rank of 106.62.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sakkari has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player formance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below. Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 50.99% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sakkari has converted 42.49% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Swiatek 2 - 3 Sakkari

Iga Swiatek

27

Total

8

Mast

3

Chall

4

Slam

7

Main

4

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

22

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

3

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

9

Rank

3

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Maria Sakkari

9

Total

1

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

6

Minor

2

Total

3

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W W W W L W W W W W

Form

L L L W L W W W W W

82% (304-69)

Career Total W/L

61% (459-296)

90% (19-2)

YTD W/L

71% (10-4)

$21,935,115

Career Prize Money

$8,458,031

2

YTD Titles

0

Current Event Stats To Check Player Form & Enhance Prediction Accuracy

USA

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

Hard
stats Iga Swiatek Maria Sakkari
Total Matches 5 5
Match Time 1:09:13 2:41:47
Total Time 5:59:36 11:20:54
Aces pg 0.15 0.23
Aces Total 5 15
DFs Per Game 0.12 0.33
DFs Total 4 22
1st Serve % 68% (153/226) 59% (281/480)
1st Serve Win% 71% (109/153) 72% (201/281)
2nd Serve Win% 58% (42/73) 48% (96/199)
Total BPs Won% 51% (23/45) 47% (25/53)
Total BPs Saved 75% (12/16) 72% (33/46)
Service Hold (%) 89% (32/36) 81% (54/67)
Opp Hold (%) 36% (13/36) 63% (42/67)
Return Pts W% 55% (140/253) 44% (192/438)
Fastest Serve 0.00kph 0.00kph
Avg 1st Serve 0.00kph 0.00kph
Avg 2nd Serve 0.00kph 0.00kph
Total Pts Won 61% (291/479) 53% (489/918)
Tiebreak W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/0) 100% (4/4)
TBs per Match 0.00 0.20
1st set W, W 100% (5/5) 100% (3/3)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Swiatek Vs Sakkari Prediction H2H Video

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After in-depth analysis of past career performance, current form, and the head-to-head matches of Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari, we give Swiatek a 83.91% chance of winning and Sakkari 16.09% chance of victory. Our prediction: Swiatek wins. If you want to bet on this match it's very important you take the best odds available into consideration as it is the odds value relative to the probability of the outcome that is important. Check out our today's tennis predictions page for full value bet analysis of this and all WTA, ATP and ITF tennis matches!

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The Best Odds For Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari For Any Market:

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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Swiatek VS Sakkari

Swiatek VS Sakkari H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Iga Swiatek Maria Sakkari
All H2H Matches 2 3
Sets Won 4 6
Games Won 47 49
Aces (Total) 6 16
DFs (Total) 17 20
Avg Match Time 1:32:0 1:32:0
1st Serve % 63% (191/305) 59% (174/295)
1st Serve Win% 64% (122/191) 74% (128/174)
2nd Serve Win% 47% (54/114) 42% (51/121)
BPs Won% (Total) 43% (13/30) 45% (15/33)
Return Points W% 39% (116/295) 42% (129/305)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (2/0)

Swiatek VS Sakkari H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-1
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Maria Sakkari
67% ( 34 of 51)
1st Serve %
58% ( 35 of 60)
2
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
7
65% ( 22 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
41% ( 7 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 5 of 25)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
43% ( 22 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
48
6-4 6-3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Maria Sakkari
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve %
61% ( 33 of 54)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
44% ( 29 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 28 of 54)
65
Total Points Won
55
6-2 6-4
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Iga Swiatek
56% ( 27 of 48)
1st Serve %
48% ( 29 of 60)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
6
96% ( 26 of 27)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 11 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
45
6-4 7-5
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Iga Swiatek
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve %
67% ( 45 of 67)
7
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 30 of 45)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 24 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
73
Total Points Won
65
6-4 6-4
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Iga Swiatek
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
69
Total Points Won
54

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Iga Swiatek Maria Sakkari
YTD W/L 90% (19/2) 71% (10/4)
Sets Win/Loss 87% (39/6) 64% (21/12)
Games Win/Loss 67% (253/126) 57% (174/132)
Aces pg 0.21 0.29
Aces Total 38 44
DFs per game 0.16 0.36
DFs Total 30 54
Avg Match Time 1:35:8 1:47:22
Avg Opp Rank 69.05 178.64
1st Serve % 68% (846/1247) 60% (649/1080)
1st Serve W% 69% (582/846) 69% (448/649)
2nd Serve W% 53% (213/401) 47% (203/431)
BPs Won% Total 48% (92/191) 45% (56/125)
Return Pts W% 50% (641/1271) 44% (435/979)
Best of 3 Sets W% 90% (19/21) 71% (10/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 80% (4/5)
1st set W, W 95% (19/18) 89% (9/8)
1st set W, L 5% (19/1) 11% (9/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 40% (5/2)

Iga Swiatek Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marta Kostyuk
74% ( 29 of 39)
1st Serve %
50% ( 26 of 52)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
83% ( 24 of 29)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 10 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
57
Total Points Won
34
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Caroline Wozniacki
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
62% ( 34 of 55)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
63% ( 10 of 16)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 9 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 28 of 55)
46
Total Points Won
36
W
6-4 1-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Yulia Putintseva
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve %
61% ( 35 of 57)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 14 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
37
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Linda Noskova
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
60% ( 27 of 45)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
7
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
60
Total Points Won
39
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve %
36% ( 16 of 44)
2
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
7
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
65
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
SF
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Iga Swiatek
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 39 of 59)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
41% ( 30 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Qinwen Zheng
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
48% ( 22 of 46)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 29 of 39)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 17 of 22)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 20 of 46)
61
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elina Svitolina
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve %
60% ( 31 of 52)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
68% ( 27 of 40)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 23 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
63
Total Points Won
47
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Sloane Stephens
63% ( 42 of 67)
1st Serve %
73% ( 58 of 80)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 28 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 41 of 80)
80
Total Points Won
67
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elena Rybakina
73% ( 63 of 86)
1st Serve %
54% ( 42 of 78)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
57% ( 36 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
45% ( 39 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 39 of 78)
86
Total Points Won
78
W
7-6(8) 6-2 H2H

Maria Sakkari Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Cori Gauff
63% ( 76 of 120)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
7
67% ( 51 of 76)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 37 of 53)
48% ( 21 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
40% ( 48 of 120)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 100)
116
Total Points Won
104
W
6-4 6-7(5) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Emma Navarro
60% ( 75 of 125)
1st Serve %
67% ( 78 of 117)
2
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
71% ( 53 of 75)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 46 of 78)
44% ( 22 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
29% ( 5 of 17)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
40% ( 50 of 125)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 52 of 117)
127
Total Points Won
115
W
5-7 6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Diane Parry
48% ( 39 of 82)
1st Serve %
44% ( 36 of 81)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
60% ( 26 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 28 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 32 of 81)
86
Total Points Won
77
W
6-2 3-6 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Caroline Garcia
52% ( 33 of 64)
1st Serve %
48% ( 22 of 46)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 16 of 22)
48% ( 15 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 8 of 24)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
62
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Diana Shnaider
65% ( 58 of 89)
1st Serve %
60% ( 56 of 94)
4
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
4
76% ( 44 of 58)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 36 of 56)
39% ( 12 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
37% ( 33 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 42 of 94)
98
Total Points Won
85
W
5-7 6-4 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Maria Sakkari
75% ( 41 of 55)
1st Serve %
52% ( 28 of 54)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
49% ( 20 of 41)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
79% ( 11 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
44% ( 24 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 30 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
48
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Emma Navarro
66% ( 38 of 58)
1st Serve %
69% ( 31 of 45)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
66% ( 25 of 38)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
40% ( 8 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
43% ( 25 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
45
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Linda Noskova
Player
Maria Sakkari
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve %
66% ( 75 of 113)
7
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
7
74% ( 46 of 62)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 50 of 75)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 45 of 113)
110
Total Points Won
99
L
3-6 7-6(2) 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Maria Sakkari
67% ( 32 of 48)
1st Serve %
59% ( 38 of 64)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 33 of 64)
66
Total Points Won
46
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Elina Avanesyan
Player
Maria Sakkari
82% ( 58 of 71)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 29 of 49)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
39% ( 28 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 34 of 75)
77
Total Points Won
69
L
6-4 6-4 H2H

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