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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Keys analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.18% of points on his second serve, while Keys has won 45.93%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 61.64% of his opponent's second serve points, while Keys has won 44.16%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.81% and 30.8% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 64.19% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Keys has saved 51.28% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 87.65% of matches played (W/L 71/ 10), with Keys winning 66.67% (W/L 24/ 12) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 111/ 16), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 86.05% of matches (W/L 37/ 6), where as Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Swiatek winning 2 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 4 and Keys winning 2. The last match between Swiatek and Keys was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 18-08-2022, Third, Hard with Madison Keys getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:15:17.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Keys have played a deciding set 0 times, with Swiatek winning 0 times and Keys 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 0, and Keys 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 72.94 while Keys has played against players with an average rank of 110.47.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Keys has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 50.34% of breakpoint opportunities, and Keys has converted 28.57% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Swiatek 2 - 1 Keys

Iga Swiatek

26

Total

8

Mast

3

Chall

4

Slam

7

Main

4

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

22

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W L W W W W

Form

W W W W L L L L W L

81% (303-69)

Career Total W/L

63% (361-208)

90% (18-2)

YTD W/L

50% (1-1)

$21,420,115

Career Prize Money

$14,517,837

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Swiatek VS Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Iga Swiatek Madison Keys
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 4 2
Games Won 32 19
Aces (Total) 1 9
DFs (Total) 7 2
Avg Match Time 1:15:17 1:15:17
1st Serve % 52% (86/164) 62% (99/160)
1st Serve Win% 72% (62/86) 57% (56/99)
2nd Serve Win% 50% (39/78) 41% (25/61)
BPs Won% (Total) 57% (12/21) 33% (7/21)
Return Points W% 49% (79/160) 38% (63/164)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)

Recent Form Is Very Important In Predicting An Upcoming H2H. Recent Matches With Stats…

Swiatek VS Keys H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Iga Swiatek
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
54% ( 34 of 63)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
66% ( 23 of 35)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
38% ( 21 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
66
Total Points Won
53
6-1 6-0
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 25 of 45)
1st Serve %
61% ( 22 of 36)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
84% ( 21 of 25)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
29% ( 13 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
56
Total Points Won
25
7-5 6-1
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
48% ( 27 of 56)
1st Serve %
62% ( 42 of 68)
1
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 24 of 42)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 34 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
53

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Iga Swiatek Madison Keys
YTD W/L 90% (18/2) 50% (1/1)
Sets Win/Loss 86% (37/6) 40% (2/3)
Games Win/Loss 66% (241/123) 44% (22/28)
Hard Win/Loss 90% (18/2) 50% (1/1)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.22 0.08
Aces Total 38 2
DFs per game 0.17 0.38
DFs Total 30 9
Avg Match Time 1:36:25 2:3:5
Avg Opp Rank 70 105
1st Serve % 68% (817/1208) 61% (115/190)
1st Serve W% 68% (558/817) 61% (70/115)
2nd Serve W% 53% (208/391) 45% (34/75)
BPs Won% Total 47% (87/185) 29% (6/21)
Return Pts W% 50% (613/1219) 41% (69/170)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 92% (11/1) 50% (1/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 100% (5/0) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 90% (18/20) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 94% (18/17) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 6% (18/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)

Iga Swiatek Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Caroline Wozniacki
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
62% ( 34 of 55)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
63% ( 10 of 16)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 9 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 28 of 55)
46
Total Points Won
36
W
6-4 1-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Yulia Putintseva
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve %
61% ( 35 of 57)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 14 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
37
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Linda Noskova
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
60% ( 27 of 45)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
7
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
60
Total Points Won
39
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve %
36% ( 16 of 44)
2
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
7
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
65
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
SF
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Iga Swiatek
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 39 of 59)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
41% ( 30 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Qinwen Zheng
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
48% ( 22 of 46)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 29 of 39)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 17 of 22)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 20 of 46)
61
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elina Svitolina
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve %
60% ( 31 of 52)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
68% ( 27 of 40)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 23 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
63
Total Points Won
47
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Sloane Stephens
63% ( 42 of 67)
1st Serve %
73% ( 58 of 80)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 28 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 41 of 80)
80
Total Points Won
67
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elena Rybakina
73% ( 63 of 86)
1st Serve %
54% ( 42 of 78)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
57% ( 36 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
45% ( 39 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 39 of 78)
86
Total Points Won
78
W
7-6(8) 6-2 H2H
SF
W
w/o H2H

Madison Keys Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64% ( 53 of 83)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 23 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
43% ( 57 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 115)
126
Total Points Won
122
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
Robin
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 16 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
Robin
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 76 of 110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
39% ( 38 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
101
L
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Marketa Vondrousova
70% ( 54 of 77)
1st Serve %
59% ( 27 of 46)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
38% ( 29 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 21 of 46)
69
Total Points Won
54
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Jessica Pegula
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 58)
62
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
71% ( 57 of 80)
1st Serve %
59% ( 58 of 98)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 23 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 98)
100
Total Points Won
78
W
5-7 6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Yanina Wickmayer
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve %
59% ( 22 of 37)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
53
Total Points Won
30
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

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