Iga Swiatek vs Gabriela Lee Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Both Iga Swiatek and Gabriela Lee have similar second serve performance, with Swiatek at 38.50% and Lee slightly ahead at 38.67%. Is this enough to determine an edge? Not necessarily on its own.
• In return games, Lee has a marginal advantage, capturing 50.25% of her opponents' second serves compared to Swiatek's 47.68%. On first serve returns, Lee again leads with 35.00% versus Swiatek’s 26.42%.
• Analyzing pressure situations, Swiatek excels in saving breakpoints at 47.44% compared to Lee’s 44.53%—a potential in-game advantage for Swiatek.
• Over the past year, Swiatek’s win rate is significantly superior at 79.01%, dwarfing Lee’s 51.02%, suggesting a stronger overall performance trend.
• Both players favor clay, achieving an identical 87% win rate; however, Lee struggles on grass at just 17% compared to Swiatek’s 76% proficiency.
• Swiatek consistently competes at the Masters level with a win rate of 72.50%, while Lee has focused more on Challenger and ITF circuits with a 51.06% win rate.
• In direct encounters, Swiatek holds a perfect 1-0 record against Lee, dominating both sets in their prior meeting.
• Swiatek has faced higher-caliber opponents over the last year, competing against players averaging a rank of 48.57, whereas Lee’s opponents have ranked 351.49 on average.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Swiatek has a stronger record, winning 59% of such situations compared to Lee’s 53%.
• While Lee converts breakpoints more efficiently at 44.38% versus Swiatek’s 33.00%, Swiatek’s strengths in other areas may mitigate this differential.

Editorial Prediction (November 16, 2025, UTC):

Iga Swiatek enters the match with several significant advantages, both in historical performance and opponent quality. Her ability to save breakpoints and perform under pressure is noteworthy when considering in-game conditions.

While Gabriela Lee demonstrates strengths in return games and breakpoint conversion, her lower win percentage and level of competition place her at a relative disadvantage.

Having already secured a victory against Lee in their previous meeting, Swiatek’s past success and current form suggest she is better positioned for another win.

Considering the overall factors, Iga Swiatek appears to be the favorite and most likely winner for the upcoming match.