Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 15 Jun at 06:54 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi

Holger Rune
Holger Rune

Flag DEN DEN

w
w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

Flag ITA ITA

w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l

1

Win

1

Played

0

Win

22
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
15
C. Rank
63
4
Best Rank
30
5
Total Titles
0
1
YTD Titles
0
$9.9M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-

Head-to-head: Rune 1 - 0 Arnaldi

They have played 2 sets in total, with Holger Rune winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 29-10-2024, Round: R1, Surface: I.hard, with Holger Rune getting the victory 6-4 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Rune1
Arnaldi0
Last 1 H2H Matches:

(R1Rolex Paris Masters - Paris(10-29-24)

I.hard
DEN Flag
Holger Rune
6
6
ITA Flag
Matteo Arnaldi
4
4

H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

Stats
$9,902,260Career Prize Money$2,532,865
65.23% (287-153)Career Total W/L59.90% (239-160)
1Indoor0
14Titles6
1Total H2H Matches0
62.07% (36-22)YTD Win/Loss45.45% (20-24)
1YTD Titles0

H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:

  • Recent second serve performance indicates a closely matched field, with Rune winning 47.98% of points and Arnaldi slightly behind at 47.89%.
  • In return game stats, Rune shows a slight edge by winning 44.43% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Arnaldi's 43.45%.
  • When returning first serves, Arnaldi holds a slight advantage with 27.26% compared to Rune's 26.3%.
  • Under pressure, Arnaldi excels by saving 55.41% of breakpoints, just ahead of Rune's 53.47%.
  • Over the last year, Rune has a stronger match win percentage (65.15%) compared to Arnaldi's 49.02%.
  • Rune thrives on indoor hard courts, with a 71% career win rate, while Arnaldi performs best on clay with a 65% win rate.
  • In the Masters series over the last year, Rune has a superior win rate of 66.67% over Arnaldi's 57.14%.
  • Their sole previous encounter, on an indoor hard surface, ended with Rune's victory, pointing to his potential edge in this matchup.
  • Despite their intense play, neither has won a deciding set or tiebreak against each other in their head-to-head battles, leaving this aspect wide open.
  • Rune has a 76% success rate in deciding sets over the last 12 months, compared to Arnaldi's 50%, showing his strength under pressure.
  • Rune also leads in breakpoint conversion, capitalizing on 30.36% of opportunities, slightly better than Arnaldi's 28.02%.
  • Editorial Prediction (June 15, 2025, UTC):

    As the players gear up for another encounter, Rune appears to have several slight edges that could tip the match in his favor. His better win percentages in recent form on indoor hard courts and a superior track record in deciding set scenarios play to his advantage.

    Arnaldi, while strong under pressure in saving breakpoints, might find it challenging to overcome Rune's record of converting more breakout opportunities. Previous head-to-head results also hint at Rune's potential to repeat his past success.

    Considering these factors, Rune emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming match, given his consistent performance and ability to leverage key moments effectively.

Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won0
2Sets Won0
12Games Won8
7Aces (Total)4
3Total Double Faults5
1:29:50Average Match Time1:29:50
62% (48/77)1st Serve %44% (25/57)
71% (34/48)1st Serve Win %88% (22/25)
62% (18/29)2nd Serve Win %50% (16/32)
67% (2/3)Break Pts Won %0% (0/5)
33% (19/57)Return Points Win %32% (25/77)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Rune 53%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Rune 50%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Rune 63%, Arnaldi 65%.

H. Rune Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025

SF

FRAU. Humbert
L
4-6 2-2 ret.

QF

ARGT. Martin
W
6-7(4) 6-3 6-4

R2

HUNM. Fucsovics
W
6-4 6-4
HardShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai - 29-09-2025

QF

MONV. Vacherot
L
2-6 7-6(4) 6-4

R4

FRAG. Mpetshi
W
6-4 6-7(7) 6-3

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

Q1

GBRJ. Fearnley
L
7-5 6-2
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

R2

GERA. Zverev
L
6-4 6-4

R1

USAA. Kovacevic
W
7-5 6-4

Q3

AUST. Schoolkate
W
7-6(5) 6-3

Q1

NEDJ. De
W
6-4 7-6(5)
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H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
65.23% (287/153)YTD Win/Loss59.90% (239/160)
61.44% (674/423)Sets Win/Loss57.91% (560/407)
53.23% (5615/4934)Games Win/Loss52.58% (4842/4366)
58.20% (71/51)Hard Win/Loss60.71% (85/55)
67.69% (132/63)Clay Win/Loss65.35% (132/70)
70.59% (72/30)Indoor Hard W/L38.30% (18/29)
57.14% (12/9)Grass Win/Loss40.00% (4/6)
0.35Aces Per Game0.36
1829Aces Total1621
0.24Double Faults Per Game0.25
1253Total Double Faults1126
1:48:6Average Match Time1:45:46
279.99Average Opponent Rank301.4
63% (20082/32118)1st Serve %59% (16488/28035)
71% (14216/20082)1st Serve Win %68% (11281/16488)
53% (6431/12036)2nd Serve Win %50% (5794/11542)
42% (1279/3030)Break Points Won % (Total)43% (1155/2712)
39% (12539/32441)Return Points Win %40% (10868/27336)
65.31% (32/17)Slam W/L56.25% (18/14)
63.44% (59/34)Masters W/L54.39% (31/26)
53.33% (8/7)Cups W/L80.00% (4/1)
63.27% (93/54)Main Tour W/L48.57% (34/36)
33.33% (1/2)Tour Finals W/L0% (0/0)
69.57% (48/21)Challenger W/L59.84% (73/49)
71.88% (46/18)Futures W/L70.27% (78/33)
66% (253/383)Best of 3 Sets Win %61% (223/367)
62% (31/50)Best of 5 Sets Win %43% (12/28)
61% (105/173)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)58% (76/131)
59% (86/147)Deciding Set Win %51% (68/133)
88% (267/235)1st Set Won, Won Match83% (242/200)
12% (267/32)1st Set Won, Lost Match17% (242/42)
30% (173/52)1st Set Lost, Won Match24% (156/37)

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