Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 15 Jun at 06:54 PM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi

DEN
1
Win
Played
0
Win

ITA
1
Win
Played
0
Win
Head-to-head: Rune 1 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 2 sets in total, with Holger Rune winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 29-10-2024, Round: R1, Surface: I.hard, with Holger Rune getting the victory 6-4 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Rune | 1 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 1 H2H Matches:
(R1) Rolex Paris Masters - Paris(10-29-24)
H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $9,902,260 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 65.23% (287-153) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Indoor | 0 |
| 14 | Titles | 6 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 62.07% (36-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Recent second serve performance indicates a closely matched field, with Rune winning 47.98% of points and Arnaldi slightly behind at 47.89%.
- In return game stats, Rune shows a slight edge by winning 44.43% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Arnaldi's 43.45%.
- When returning first serves, Arnaldi holds a slight advantage with 27.26% compared to Rune's 26.3%.
- Under pressure, Arnaldi excels by saving 55.41% of breakpoints, just ahead of Rune's 53.47%.
- Over the last year, Rune has a stronger match win percentage (65.15%) compared to Arnaldi's 49.02%.
- Rune thrives on indoor hard courts, with a 71% career win rate, while Arnaldi performs best on clay with a 65% win rate.
- In the Masters series over the last year, Rune has a superior win rate of 66.67% over Arnaldi's 57.14%.
- Their sole previous encounter, on an indoor hard surface, ended with Rune's victory, pointing to his potential edge in this matchup.
- Despite their intense play, neither has won a deciding set or tiebreak against each other in their head-to-head battles, leaving this aspect wide open.
- Rune has a 76% success rate in deciding sets over the last 12 months, compared to Arnaldi's 50%, showing his strength under pressure.
- Rune also leads in breakpoint conversion, capitalizing on 30.36% of opportunities, slightly better than Arnaldi's 28.02%.
Editorial Prediction (June 15, 2025, UTC):
As the players gear up for another encounter, Rune appears to have several slight edges that could tip the match in his favor. His better win percentages in recent form on indoor hard courts and a superior track record in deciding set scenarios play to his advantage.
Arnaldi, while strong under pressure in saving breakpoints, might find it challenging to overcome Rune's record of converting more breakout opportunities. Previous head-to-head results also hint at Rune's potential to repeat his past success.
Considering these factors, Rune emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming match, given his consistent performance and ability to leverage key moments effectively.
Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 12 | Games Won | 8 |
| 7 | Aces (Total) | 4 |
| 3 | Total Double Faults | 5 |
| 1:29:50 | Average Match Time | 1:29:50 |
| 62% (48/77) | 1st Serve % | 44% (25/57) |
| 71% (34/48) | 1st Serve Win % | 88% (22/25) |
| 62% (18/29) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (16/32) |
| 67% (2/3) | Break Pts Won % | 0% (0/5) |
| 33% (19/57) | Return Points Win % | 32% (25/77) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
H. Rune Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SF | L | 4-6 2-2 ret. | ||
QF | W | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 | ||
R2 | W | 6-4 6-4 | ||
QF | L | 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 | ||
R4 | W | 6-4 6-7(7) 6-3 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
R2 | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1 | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3 | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1 | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||

H. Rune vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 65.23% (287/153) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 61.44% (674/423) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 53.23% (5615/4934) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 58.20% (71/51) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 67.69% (132/63) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 70.59% (72/30) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 57.14% (12/9) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.35 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 1829 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.24 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1253 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:48:6 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 279.99 | Average Opponent Rank | 301.4 |
| 63% (20082/32118) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 71% (14216/20082) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 53% (6431/12036) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 42% (1279/3030) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 39% (12539/32441) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 65.31% (32/17) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 63.44% (59/34) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 53.33% (8/7) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 63.27% (93/54) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 33.33% (1/2) | Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 69.57% (48/21) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 71.88% (46/18) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 66% (253/383) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 62% (31/50) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 61% (105/173) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 59% (86/147) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 88% (267/235) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 12% (267/32) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 30% (173/52) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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