Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Maxim Mrva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent performance on second serve indicates Mrva has a slight edge, winning 43.39% of points compared to Bailly's 41.5%.
• How do these players perform on returning serves? Mrva demonstrates stronger return stats in the recent form, capturing 50.95% of opponents' second serve points and 31.72% of first serve returns, while Bailly achieves 45.05% and 28.83% respectively.
• Facing breakpoints, Mrva has managed to save 49.09% compared to Bailly's 47.48%, which could be decisive in tight games.
• What about their overall match success over the last year? Bailly holds a higher win rate at 69.74% compared to Mrva's 62.75%.
• Looking at career surface performance, both excel on hard courts, but Bailly fares slightly better with a win rate of 69%, against Mrva's 63%.
• Player level competition shows Bailly has been more successful in Futures/Satellites/ITF circuits, whereas Mrva has faced tougher Challenger competition but with less success.
• In terms of opponent quality, Bailly has competed against higher-ranked counterparts, averaging a rank of 395.03, while Mrva's opponents averaged 428.69.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, both players have the same rate of winning, with each securing victory 56% of the time in such situations.
• Break point conversion is nearly identical; Bailly converts 40.38% of opportunities, while Mrva converts 40.53%.

Editorial Prediction (August 25, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Bailly and Mrva promises to be closely contested, given both players' strengths and recent performances. Mrva's slight advantage in both second serve performance and return statistics underscores his ability to apply pressure during rallies.

Bailly, however, boasts a higher win percentage over the past year and has experience against stronger opponents, which could prove pivotal. Both players succeed in deciding sets, suggesting a potential nail-biter if the match extends to that point.

Given the parallel performances and slight differences in strengths, Mrva's edge in pressure situations and recent return stats may tip the balance in his favor. Therefore, Mrva is likely to emerge victorious in this highly anticipated encounter.