Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Justin Schlageter Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does Schlageter compare to Bailly in second serve performance over the past six months? Schlageter leads with 45.55% of points won, against Bailly's 41.07%, suggesting a slight edge in longer rallies.
• When focusing on recent return game performance, Schlageter has won 48.15% of their opponent's second serve points, while Bailly lags at 44.88%.
• Interestingly, both players have nearly identical first serve return stats, with Bailly edging out slightly at 28.74% compared to Schlageter’s 28.26%.
• In pressure situations, Schlageter has been more successful at saving breakpoints, with a 58.03% rate compared to Bailly’s 46.99%.
• Though Schlageter has a 65.28% win rate over the past year, Bailly outperforms with a 72.29% win rate.
• What is each player’s best surface? Schlageter excels on hard courts with a 77% win rate, while Bailly performs well at 69% on the same surface.
• On indoor hard courts, Schlageter holds a 47% win rate, a strong advantage over Bailly’s 27% win rate.
• Both have played predominantly at Futures level events, with Bailly securing more wins at 72.86% compared to Schlageter's performance.
• Schlageter has faced stronger opponents on average, with an average opponent rank of 263.72 as opposed to Bailly’s 371.28, potentially indicating more experience against top competition.
• In deciding sets, Schlageter has an impressive win rate of 76%, which could prove crucial, compared to Bailly who stands at 65%.
• When it comes to breakpoint conversion, Bailly has been more effective, converting 39.11% of opportunities versus Schlageter’s 32.71%.

Editorial Prediction (September 6, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Schlageter and Bailly promises to be a tight contest with both players showcasing unique strengths. Schlageter's advantage arises from superior second serve performance and an edge in facing higher-ranked opponents. His ability to handle pressure effectively, with better breakpoint defense, also adds to his strengths.

Meanwhile, Bailly brings a higher overall match win rate to the table, buoyed by a better breakpoint conversion rate. Despite facing generally lower-ranked opponents, Bailly's success on hard courts remains considerable.

However, Schlageter's strong performance in deciding sets and against tougher competitors hints at greater resilience. Considering these factors, Schlageter seems poised to have a slight upper hand in the upcoming match.

Given the combination of his consistent serve and robust performance under pressure, Schlageter is predicted to win this encounter.