Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Diogo Marques Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How well do they perform on their second serve? Gilles Arnaud Bailly has secured 42.52% of points on his second serve recently, whereas Diogo Marques has managed 49.05%, indicating Marques may have a slight edge in this area.
• Return game performance: Bailly has proved slightly more effective in capturing opponent's second serve points, at 44.82% against 43.49% for Marques. For first serve returns, Bailly also leads with 28.55% compared to Marques's 25.67%.
• Pressure handling: Marques shows resilience under pressure by saving 53.99% of breakpoints, surpassing Bailly's 45.74% rate, suggesting Marques might handle crucial game moments better.
• Overall yearly performance: In the past year, Bailly has a notably higher winning percentage, securing victory in 75.53% of matches, while Marques trails with 30.95%.
• Surface preference: Bailly's strengths lie predominantly on Hard courts with a 72% win rate. Conversely, Marques excels on Clay with an equivalent 72% win rate.
• Tournament level experience: Bailly has outperformed Marques at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, winning 76.92% of such matches compared to Marques's 32.43%.
• Opponent quality: Both have competed against opponents of similar average rankings, around 385 for Bailly and 382 for Marques.
• Deciding set prowess: Bailly displays greater skill in closing out tight matches, winning 71% of deciding sets versus 54% for Marques.

Editorial Prediction (October 31, 2025, UTC):

With a more consistent track record in winning matches throughout the past year and a demonstrated ability to excel in critical match scenarios, Gilles Arnaud Bailly is positioned to have a competitive advantage in the upcoming game. His superior performance on Hard courts aligns well with the upcoming conditions.

Although Diogo Marques demonstrates robust breakpoint defense and a slightly stronger second serve, Bailly's overall experience and proficiency in tight sets suggest a strategic edge.

Considering all the statistics and past performances, Gilles Arnaud Bailly is the more likely contender to secure victory in this match.