Gianmarco Ferrari vs Andrey Chepelev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance might be a deciding factor. Gianmarco Ferrari edges out Andrey Chepelev slightly, winning 44.07% of points compared to Chepelev's 40.17%. Does this alone suggest Ferrari is stronger? Not entirely, as return game stats also play a crucial role.
• In return game strength, Chepelev shows superior form, capturing 47.65% of opponents' second serve points, while Ferrari wins 43.22%. His advantage on first serve returns (30.48% against Ferrari's 27.41%) further solidifies Chepelev's returning prowess.
• Under pressure, break point saves are nearly identical, with Chepelev saving 51.77% and Ferrari following closely at 50.86%. Could this slight edge indicate a stronger mental game for Chepelev? Perhaps, but it's marginal.
• Performance overview over the past year gives Chepelev a winning percentage of 61.11%, outpacing Ferrari's 56.00%. This overall success rate favors Chepelev slightly in predicting future matches.
• On clay surfaces, both players perform equally well, with a win percentage of 61%. Does their similar performance on clay suggest this surface will be a balanced battleground? It might be.
• Comparing tournament levels, Chepelev maintains a higher win percentage (61.11% vs. Ferrari's 54.55%) in Futures/Satellites/ITF events, showcasing more consistent results in similar tournament settings.
• Head-to-head analysis reveals Chepelev's dominance, having won their sole past encounter on clay in straight sets. Can Chepelev maintain this momentum? Historical performance hints at a potential repeat.
• Average opponent rank offers additional insight, with Chepelev facing slightly stronger competition (480.81) compared to Ferrari (508.14). Is Chepelev more adaptable to challenging opponents? It appears so.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Chepelev also shows a slight advantage, winning 59% of such scenarios versus Ferrari's 58%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the second serve performance, Gianmarco Ferrari shows a marginal advantage, winning more points recently. However, Andrey Chepelev's superior return game statistics suggest a potential for outperforming Ferrari, especially considering his success in both second and first-serve returns.

While pressure-handling abilities are nearly equal, Chepelev’s overall winning percentage in the past year and his past head-to-head victory provide a confidence booster. Their equal performance on clay and Chepelev's experience with higher-ranked opponents further underline his potential superiority.

Given the holistic view of strengths, recent trends, and past encounters, Andrey Chepelev emerges as the likely winner for the forthcoming match.