Gianluca Carlini vs Matteo Fondriest Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Success Rate: Fondriest has achieved 40.4% compared to Carlini's 46.15% over the past six months. Does Carlini hold an advantage here? It seems so.
• Return Game Strength: Fondriest excels on opponent second serve returns, with 46.73% success against Carlini's 28.57%. On first serve returns, Fondriest again leads with 30.89% versus Carlini's 17.39%.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Carlini has a slightly higher breakpoint save rate of 42.86% compared to Fondriest's 41.38%.
• Performance Overview: Over the past year, Fondriest boasts a 60.81% match win rate, significantly outperforming Carlini's 36.36%.
• Surface Preference: Fondriest performs best on Hard courts, winning 58%, while Carlini favors Clay with a 47% win rate.
• Player Level: Fondriest has more experience and success (61.64% win rate) at the $10K ITF level than Carlini (36.36% win rate).
• Opponent Quality: Fondriest played against slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 166.88 compared to Carlini's 149.45.
• Deciding Set Performance: Fondriest has won 50% of deciding sets, whereas Carlini has yet to win any in this scenario.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Recently, Fondriest converted 38.18% of opportunities, while Carlini failed to convert any breakpoints.

Editorial Prediction (July 7, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Fondriest and Carlini presents an intriguing clash of differing strengths and weaknesses. Fondriest's superior performance in returning games and higher percentage of breakpoint conversions stands out significantly, providing a potential edge in crucial moments of the match.

While Carlini displays a slight advantage on second serve success, the return game could be a pivotal factor. Additionally, Fondriest’s experience in deciding sets and overall higher match win rate over the last year gives further confidence in their capabilities under pressure.

Considering these statistical insights, Fondriest appears to be better positioned to secure a win in this encounter, suggesting a likely victory based on comparative strengths.