Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger Aliassime Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When looking at second serve points won, Felix Auger Aliassime has an edge with a 49.43% success rate compared to Gabriel Diallo's 45.75% over the past six months. Could this influence the match outcome? Likely so, given its high correlation with victory predictions.
• In terms of return game performance, Auger Aliassime again leads by winning 45.05% of opponents' second serve points, while Diallo captures 39.76%. However, for first serve returns, Diallo slightly outperforms with 22.37% over Auger Aliassime's 21.39%.
• Under pressure, Auger Aliassime saves 58.21% of breakpoints compared to Diallo's 57.20%, suggesting a slight advantage in crucial moments.
• Analyzing performance over the last year, Auger Aliassime has a higher match win rate of 65.63% against Diallo's 56.72%, indicating a stronger overall form.
• Both players share their highest success rate on indoor hard courts, with Auger Aliassime and Diallo both winning 70% of matches. On other surfaces, Auger Aliassime tends to perform better.
• Assessing their tour level games, Auger Aliassime won 73.68% on the Main tour while Diallo's win rate is slightly lower at 60.71%.
• Opponent quality reveals Auger Aliassime has faced tougher competitors, playing against an average rank of 60.59 compared to Diallo's 81.6, possibly preparing him better for challenging matches.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Auger Aliassime's 67% win rate in such sets considerably surpasses Diallo's 48%, suggesting resilience in tight situations.
• Look out for current event performance, as real-time stats may affect the outcome.

Editorial Prediction (October 22, 2025, UTC):

Felix Auger Aliassime enters this matchup with statistical advantages across several key areas, such as second serve and return performance. His consistency under pressure and experience against higher-ranked players give him an edge.

Gabriel Diallo's strengths, including marginally better first serve returns, will pose a challenge, but in terms of overall form and the ability to handle crucial match moments, Auger Aliassime appears better prepared.

Considering all factors, Felix Auger Aliassime is favored to emerge victorious in this encounter.