Prediction of Gabriel Diallo vs Amir Omarkhanov at Almaty Open - Almaty 10-13-25

• In the last six months, Gabriel Diallo has a slightly better second serve performance, winning 46.43% of points, compared to Amir Omarkhanov's 42.63%.
• Gabriel Diallo shows a moderate advantage in saving breakpoints, achieving a 55.51% success rate, versus Amir Omarkhanov's 47.32%.
• Amir Omarkhanov excels in returning both first and second serves, with 31.56% and 44.05% respectively, outperforming Gabriel Diallo's 23.40% and 39.43%.
• Gabriel Diallo has had a stronger overall match performance over the past year, winning 58.57% of matches, while Amir Omarkhanov has won 41.67%.
• On indoor hard courts, Gabriel Diallo has a career win rate of 67%, fitting closely with Amir's best surface win rate of 67% on Hard, revealing both players are competent but on different surfaces.
• Gabriel Diallo has more experience playing on the Main tour with a 64.52% win rate, compared to Amir Omarkhanov's 43.48% win rate in Futures tournaments.
• The average ranking of Gabriel Diallo's opponents over the last 12 months is 80.87, which is notably higher in quality than Amir Omarkhanov's 534.88 average opponent rank.
• When entering a deciding set, both players have shown equal strength, each winning 50% of deciding sets, indicating potential competitiveness in tight scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (October 13, 2025, UTC):

Both players present distinct strengths in their gameplay. Gabriel Diallo demonstrates higher proficiency under pressure, saving breakpoints effectively and maintaining a solid match win rate, particularly on the Main tour. This indicates a substantial edge in experience and resilience.

Conversely, Amir Omarkhanov's ability to return serves effectively highlights his defensive skills, yet he has largely competed against lower-ranked opponents. This potentially inflates his stats without a stronger competitive context.

Given these factors—stronger second serve proficiency, higher-level tour experience, and competitive quality of opponents—Gabriel Diallo is the likely candidate to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.