Prediction of Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Andre Ilagan at Drummondville Challenger 11-13-25

• Gabi Adrian Boitan shows a slight edge in winning points on second serves, with 45.55%, compared to Andre Ilagan’s 44.17%. Does this give Gabi an advantage? Slightly, but it's not definitive alone.
• Andre Ilagan demonstrates superior performance in return games, capturing 47.51% of opponent's second serve points versus Gabi’s 42.83%. Similarly, Andre excels in returning first serves at 28.49%, ahead of Gabi’s 25.28%. This might provide Andre a stronger game under certain conditions.
• When facing breakpoints, Andre Ilagan's escape rate is at 57.93%, which is better than Gabi Adrian Boitan’s 50.67%. Could this indicate a stronger mental game under pressure for Andre? It might.
• Over the past year, Gabi Adrian Boitan exhibits a higher match win percentage of 66.28%, compared to Andre Ilagan's 52.11%. This suggests Gabi has been more consistent lately.
• Playing surfaces differ in importance, with Gabi shining most on Clay at a 67% win rate. Conversely, Andre finds Hard courts more favorable, matching Gabi’s win rate of 67% there. Could the surface be the decisive factor in this match?
• Event levels impact performance statistics; Gabi Adrian Boitan largely competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments and wins 71.19% of such matches. Meanwhile, Andre Ilagan’s 53.97% win rate at Challengers/ITF tournaments signals higher average competition level.
• Andre Ilagan frequently faces higher-ranked opponents, averaging rank 340.32, a contrast to Gabi’s 435.92, possibly explaining differences in performance outcomes.
• In deciding set scenarios, Gabi boasts a 60% win rate, whereas Andre has 43%. Does this indicate an edge for Gabi if the match extends to a final set? Possibly, yes.
• Recent form in breakpoint conversion sees Andre Ilagan leading slightly with 35.14% over Gabi’s 32.32%, potentially gaining small tactical advantages on key points.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Gabi Adrian Boitan and Andre Ilagan promises to be a closely contested one, given their contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Gabi Adrian Boitan holds a slight edge in pure win-loss record, indicating consistent success across various encounters, albeit often at slightly lower competitive levels. This suggests reliable performance against moderately ranked opponents.

Andre Ilagan’s strengths lie in his ability to return serves effectively and his competitive experience against higher-ranked players. His proficiency in pressured situations, demonstrated by a high breakpoint save rate, may turn the tide in critical moments.

Considering the mix of their recent form, surface preferences, and mental resilience, Andre Ilagan, with slightly superior returns and competitive exposure, is perhaps favored to edge out in this tightly balanced match. However, should the contest stretch to a deciding set, Gabi Adrian Boitan’s notable advantage therein could swing the odds.

Ultimately, Andre Ilagan is the likelier candidate to secure victory, leveraging his adaptability against higher-caliber opponents and marginally superior pressure handling.