Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Cobolli has recently won 47.89% of points on their second serve, slightly trailing Arnaldi's 48.68%. Is the small margin significant? Yes, as it can indicate who may maintain better service games.
• When returning their opponent's second serve, Cobolli has won 42.9% of points vs. Arnaldi's 43.14%. Is there a clear advantage? Arnaldi holds a slight edge here as well.
• First serve return performance shows Cobolli having a slight advantage, winning 29.8% of points compared to Arnaldi's 27.55%.
• Under pressure, Cobolli has saved 57.39% of breakpoints, marginally surpassing Arnaldi's 56.25% efficiency in these critical situations.
• In terms of overall match performance over the past year, Cobolli's win rate stands at 55.38%, ahead of Arnaldi's 51.92%. Could this track record play a role in their upcoming match? It could signal Cobolli's potential consistency.
• Both players excel on clay courts. Cobolli has a career win rate of 61% on clay, while Arnaldi performs even better at 66%.
• Regarding match experience, Cobolli has been active primarily on the Main tour with a 61.11% win ratio, whereas Arnaldi has focused more on the Masters series, achieving a 57.14% win rate.
• Their head-to-head history shows Arnaldi winning 3 out of their 4 encounters and securing 7 out of 11 sets, hinting at a psychological edge.
• Cobolli and Arnaldi tend to have long matches, with an average match time of over 2 hours.
• In deciding sets, Cobolli performs slightly better, winning 58% compared to Arnaldi's 50%.
• Cobolli has converted 30.95% of breakpoint opportunities, exceeding Arnaldi's 26.74% rate, which could be crucial during key phases of the match.
• Cobolli's opponents over the last year had an average rank of 74.65, suggesting they have faced relatively easier competition compared to Arnaldi's average opponent rank of 62.08.

Editorial Prediction (May 29, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate Cobolli and Arnaldi's performances, subtle nuances in stats suggest potentially decisive factors swirling around this match-up. Arnaldi has a marginally better second serve and return game, which are critical for predicting match outcomes.

Cobolli's strengths lie in break point conversion and match play experience on the main tour, suggesting a robust capacity to seize critical match moments and adapt under high-tour conditions. Additionally, his solid record in deciding sets could give him an edge if the match goes the distance.

Nevertheless, Arnaldi's head-to-head advantage and clay court supremacy might imply resilience backed by past victories against Cobolli. The key question remains: will Cobolli's consistency and pressure handling tilt the scales?

Considering all factors, Arnaldi's slight edge in historical performance against Cobolli and his prowess on clay renders him more likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming clash.