Flavio Cobolli vs James Duckworth Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, James Duckworth has shown a slight advantage in winning points on his second serve compared to Flavio Cobolli (49.62% vs. 45.86%). This aspect often plays a crucial role in predicting match outcomes. Could this edge be significant enough?
• Both players have comparable return game stats against their opponent's second serve, with Duckworth at 43.12% and Cobolli slightly higher at 43.59%. However, Cobolli significantly outperforms Duckworth in first serve returns, winning 28.47% to Duckworth’s 20.64%. How might this impact the upcoming match?
• When facing breakpoints, Flavio Cobolli is more adept at saving them, boasting a 57.92% save rate compared to Duckworth's 55.20%. This could be an essential factor under pressure situations.
• Flavio Cobolli has a better match winning percentage over the last year (55.17%) compared to Duckworth's 50.00%. This suggests a more consistent performance from Cobolli in recent play.
• Both players perform best on clay, each with a 63% win rate. However, Cobolli struggles significantly more on indoor hard surfaces, with only a 36% win rate, which could be a consideration depending on the match location.
• Both players have seen considerable action on the Main tour over the past year with Cobolli winning a higher percentage of his matches (60.71%) compared to Duckworth's 53.33%. Will Cobolli's higher success rate matter in this clash?
• In their only head-to-head match previously, Flavio Cobolli defeated James Duckworth at the U.S. Open, securing three out of the four sets played. Could this previous victory give Cobolli a psychological edge?
• In matches over the last year, Duckworth has faced opponents with a lower average ranking (214.62) compared to Cobolli (77.78), suggesting Cobolli has been competing against stronger opponents regularly.
• If this match extends to a deciding set, statistics from the past 12 months favor Cobolli, who has won 65% of such sets compared to Duckworth's 39% win rate. How crucial could this be in a closely contested match?

Editorial Prediction (October 17, 2025, UTC):

Examining recent performance patterns, James Duckworth shows a slight edge in second serve points won. However, Flavio Cobolli matches him closely in returning second serves, and strongly outperforms Duckworth with first serve returns.

Under pressure, Cobolli demonstrates a marginally higher breakpoint save rate, potentially allowing him to maintain momentum during critical moments. His superior match success over the last year highlights his stronger recent consistency.

Cobolli's previous head-to-head victory over Duckworth could provide him with a psychological advantage. Although both excel on clay, Cobolli's struggle on indoor hard surfaces could be relevant, contingent on the match venue.

Considering Cobolli's more difficult competition over the past year and his higher success rate in deciding sets, the evidence supports him as the favored player. Thus, Flavio Cobolli is the most likely winner for the upcoming match.