Prediction of Fiona Ferro vs Tina Nadine Smith at Open In Arte Angers Loire - Angers 12-02-25

• Tina Nadine Smith won 44.69% of points on her second serve recently, while Fiona Ferro achieved 46.23%. Is the slightly better second serve performance an indicator of match advantage? It might be.
• Regarding returning opponents' second serves, Smith has secured 47.40% of points, with Ferro closely matching at 47.47%.
• First serve returns show a minor edge to Ferro, winning 36.08% of points compared to Smith's 35.75%.
• Under pressure, Smith saves breakpoints 46.29% of the time, outpacing Ferro's 42.50%.
• Fiona Ferro has a better win-loss record over the past year at 60.00% (12/8) compared to Smith's 54.10% (33/28).
• Smith excels on grass with a 62% win rate, while Ferro leads on clay with the same percentage.
• Both have an identical win percentage in Challenger/ITF tournaments above $10K, at 57.14%.
• Ferro has faced tougher competition in the past year, with average opponent ranks of 309.15 versus Smith's 370.03.
• When matches stretch to a deciding set, Ferro remains undefeated, whereas Smith has a 50% win rate.
• In recent play, Ferro converts 57.89% of break point chances, overshadowing Smith's 41.34% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (November 30, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performances of Tina Nadine Smith and Fiona Ferro suggests some compelling insights into their forthcoming match. Both players hold strong statistics in serve returns, yet Ferro slightly edges out Smith in both first and second serve returns, indicating a potential advantage.

Ferro's greater record in break point conversion rates and her superior performance in deciding sets indicate a level of resilience and strategic play under pressure. Moreover, her experience against higher-ranked opponents and a superior overall win rate over the past year point towards a seasoned competitor ready to challenge Smith.

While Smith showcases excellence on grass and displays commendable breakpoint save capability, the current conditions and Ferro's favorable break point conversion rates could pose a challenge.

Based on the data, Fiona Ferro appears more likely to secure victory in this matchup, especially if the match extends to critical points or a deciding set.