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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Aliassime vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aliassime has won 51.1% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aliassime, in recent form, has won 47.91% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.61% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Aliassime has saved 57.46% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Aliassime has won 51.16% of matches played (W/L 22/ 21), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Aliassime has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 81/ 38), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 57% (W/L 105/ 78). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
- Player level: In the last year, Aliassime has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/ 8), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Aliassime winning 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Aliassime winning 4 and Nadal winning 5. The last match between Aliassime and Nadal was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 15-11-2022, Robin, I.hard with Felix Auger Aliassime getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:38:41.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Aliassime and Nadal have played a deciding set 1 times, with Aliassime winning 0 times and Nadal 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Aliassime winning 0, and Nadal 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aliassime has played against opponents with an average rank of 141.16 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aliassime has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Aliassime has converted 39.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Aliassime 1 - 2 Nadal
34
Rank
6
High
23
Age
R
Plays
1
Total2
0
Hard0
0
Clay2
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
644
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
Form
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
63% (318-187)
Career Total W/L
82% (1115-238)
55% (11-9)
YTD W/L
60% (3-2)
$7,325,585
Career Prize Money
$96,415,145
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Felix Auger Aliassime | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 5 |
| Games Won | 38 | 43 |
| Aces (Total) | 25 | 6 |
| DFs (Total) | 9 | 11 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:38:41 | 2:38:41 |
| 1st Serve % | 67% (191/283) | 66% (158/240) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 69% (131/191) | 72% (113/158) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 42% (39/92) | 59% (48/82) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 50% (7/14) | 27% (10/37) |
| Return Points W% | 33% (79/240) | 40% (113/283) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 50% (2/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 50% (2/1) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 50% (2/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats 
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
48 of
68)
1st Serve %
59%
(
36 of
61)
15
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
81%
(
39 of
48)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
26 of
36)
40%
(
8 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
31%
(
21 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
23 of
61)
70
Total Points Won
59
|
||||
| 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67%
(
90 of
134)
1st Serve %
69%
(
106 of
153)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
60 of
90)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
68 of
106)
66%
(
29 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
22 of
47)
27%
(
6 of
22)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
34%
(
45 of
134)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
63 of
153)
152
Total Points Won
135
|
||||
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve %
60%
(
37 of
62)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
84%
(
27 of
32)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
24 of
37)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
24%
(
11 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
29 of
62)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Felix Auger Aliassime | Rafael Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 55% (11/9) | 60% (3/2) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 53% (27/24) | 64% (7/4) |
| Games Win/Loss | 52% (267/248) | 57% (59/45) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 44% (4/5) | 67% (2/1) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (3/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 57% (4/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Aces Total | 169 | 14 |
| DFs per game | 0.35 | 0.2 |
| DFs Total | 89 | 10 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:9:49 | 1:55:33 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 138.8 | 106.2 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (980/1561) | 69% (222/322) |
| 1st Serve W% | 74% (725/980) | 74% (164/222) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 52% (300/581) | 52% (52/100) |
| BPs Won% Total | 40% (49/124) | 42% (14/33) |
| Return Pts W% | 37% (594/1606) | 39% (125/318) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (3/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 55% (6/5) | 60% (3/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 53% (9/17) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 56% (5/9) | 0% (0/1) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (3/6) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 77% (13/10) | 75% (4/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 23% (13/3) | 25% (4/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 14% (7/1) | 0% (1/0) |
Felix Auger Aliassime Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Taro Daniel
63%
(
40 of
63)
1st Serve %
80%
(
35 of
44)
9
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
80%
(
32 of
40)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
17 of
35)
39%
(
9 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
5 of
9)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Maximilian Marterer
60%
(
72 of
120)
1st Serve %
68%
(
79 of
116)
11
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
2
78%
(
56 of
72)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
55 of
79)
54%
(
26 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
32%
(
38 of
120)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
38 of
116)
120
Total Points Won
116
|
6-7(5) 7-6(6) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
64%
(
49 of
76)
1st Serve %
67%
(
40 of
60)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69%
(
34 of
49)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
28 of
40)
56%
(
15 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
12 of
20)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
36%
(
27 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
20 of
60)
69
Total Points Won
67
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Luca Nardi
55%
(
26 of
47)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
88%
(
23 of
26)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
20 of
34)
62%
(
13 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
11 of
20)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
11 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
54)
59
Total Points Won
42
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
74%
(
28 of
38)
1st Serve %
71%
(
35 of
49)
2
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
0
93%
(
26 of
28)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
25 of
35)
100%
(
10 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
5%
(
2 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
19 of
49)
55
Total Points Won
32
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Adam Walton
67%
(
43 of
64)
1st Serve %
75%
(
52 of
69)
11
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
1
81%
(
35 of
43)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
62%
(
13 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
10 of
17)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
25%
(
16 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
26 of
69)
74
Total Points Won
59
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Constant Lestienne
57%
(
27 of
47)
1st Serve %
51%
(
35 of
69)
4
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
4
85%
(
23 of
27)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
21 of
35)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
33 of
69)
67
Total Points Won
49
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
52%
(
34 of
65)
1st Serve %
51%
(
37 of
72)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
9
74%
(
25 of
34)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
28 of
37)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
15 of
35)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
22 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
29 of
72)
72
Total Points Won
65
|
2-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
59%
(
59 of
100)
1st Serve %
64%
(
70 of
109)
5
Aces
20
2
Double Faults
5
68%
(
40 of
59)
1st Serve Won
80%
(
56 of
70)
71%
(
29 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
20%
(
1 of
5)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
31 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
31%
(
34 of
109)
103
Total Points Won
106
|
3-6 7-6(6) 7-5 | H2H | ||
view more
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
76%
(
35 of
46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
58
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
34 of
54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
80%
(
12 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
13%
(
6 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
21 of
54)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
64%
(
65 of
102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
43 of
63)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
63%
(
20 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
18 of
37)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
32 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
44 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
42 of
67)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
27 of
48)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
34%
(
41 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
115)
124
Total Points Won
110
|
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
61%
(
56 of
92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63%
(
39 of
62)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
42 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
100
Total Points Won
92
|
3-6 6-1 7-5 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
55 of
95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
40 of
55)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
34 of
95)
94
Total Points Won
89
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Robin |
Stats
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve %
70%
(
46 of
66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93%
(
38 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
11 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
23 of
66)
73
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
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