Prediction of Fares Zakaria vs Vadym Ursu at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-07-25

• Fares Zakaria has a slightly better second serve point win rate (42.60%) compared to Vadym Ursu (40.91%). How much of an advantage is this really during the match?
• Fares Zakaria excels in returning second serves, gaining an edge with 47.45% points won against opponents, whereas Vadym Ursu tops in returning first serves with 31.86% success.
• Vadym Ursu edges out Fares Zakaria in saving breakpoints under pressure with a 51.15% success rate compared to 49.17%.
• Over the past year, Vadym Ursu has a slightly higher match win rate at 63.86% compared to Fares Zakaria's 59.38%.
• On Hard surfaces, both players have an equal win percentage of 55%, demonstrating similar comfort levels on this surface.
• In lower-tier tournaments, Vadym Ursu has a higher win rate (74.58%) than Fares Zakaria (65.45%), potentially indicating better form against similar level opposition.
• Their head-to-head encounters are evenly matched at one win each, though Fares Zakaria leads in overall sets, 3-2.
• Vadym Ursu typically faces higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 390.94 compared to Fares Zakaria's opponents at 447.75.
• Vadym Ursu shows superiority in deciding sets, winning 67% compared to Fares Zakaria's 58% success rate.
• Vadym Ursu converts breakpoints more effectively at 42.62% compared to Fares Zakaria's 31.39%, which can be crucial in pivotal game moments.

Editorial Prediction (December 6, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the upcoming clash between Fares Zakaria and Vadym Ursu, the statistical indicators provide a compelling narrative of competition and slight advantages. Fares Zakaria excels in second serve points, indicating a potential edge in longer rallies.

However, Vadym Ursu's strength in first serve returns and breakpoint conversion highlights his effectiveness when applying pressure. His competitive edge is further accentuated in handling crucial, high-stakes points under pressure.

Moreover, Ursu's better performance in deciding sets and against higher-ranked opponents suggests a resilience and ability to overcome tougher challenges, which could prove pivotal in tight match situations.

Taking all these factors into account, Vadym Ursu appears to hold a slight overall advantage and is likely to edge out a victory in the upcoming match against Fares Zakaria.