Prediction of Fares Zakaria vs Erik Arutiunian at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-06-25

• Recent second serve performance indicates Erik Arutiunian is leading with 48.15% of points won, compared to Fares Zakaria's 42.51%. Could this serve efficiency give Erik the advantage?
• Assessing return games, Fares Zakaria excels in winning 47.19% of opponents' second serve points, while Erik stands at 42.50%.
• In returning first serves, Fares shows superior performance with 26.65% won against Erik's 21.75%.
• Under pressure, Erik has a slight edge, saving 52.63% of breakpoints versus Fares' 50.41%. Could this resilience be a decisive factor?
• Erik Arutiunian has a stronger annual win ratio, clinching 69.62% of his matches, compared to Fares Zakaria at 58.73%.
• Both players favor different surfaces: Fares thrives on Hard with a 55% win rate, whereas Erik is most successful on I.hard with the same 55% win rate.
• Considering the tournament level, Erik boasts a higher success rate, winning 74.19% in Futures/ITF tournaments, compared to Fares' 64.81%.
• Directly, Erik has defeated Fares in their only encounter, winning both sets comfortably.
• Erik has been tested against slightly higher-ranked opponents, facing an average rank of 413.78, as opposed to Fares' opponents with an average rank of 447.67.
• In deciding sets, Erik maintains an advantage, winning 62% compared to Fares' 58%.

Editorial Prediction (December 5, 2025, UTC):

Looking at the second serve statistics, Erik Arutiunian demonstrates superior performance, winning a higher percentage of points, which could prove crucial in tight service games.

Fares Zakaria shows a better return game, specifically on the second serve and first serve returns, which might level the playing field, giving him an opportunity to break Erik's serve.

Despite Fares’ strong return game, Erik has shown consistent resilience under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, a skill that can provide him with the edge during crucial moments.

Erik Arutiunian's comparative advantage in head-to-head results, higher match win rate, and slightly superior performance against higher-ranked players make him the prospective favorite.

Grounding the prediction in these facts, Erik Arutiunian is likely to win the upcoming tennis match, leveraging his better overall consistency and ability to handle crucial moments effectively.