Eva Guerrero Alvarez vs Francisca Jorge Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: In the last six months, Alvarez has marginally lagged behind Jorge, winning 41.85% of second serve points compared to Jorge's 42.24%. Who will this slight edge benefit more?
• Return Game Statistics: Alvarez excels against second serves, winning 50.40% compared to Jorge's 49.28%. In contrast, Jorge leads first serve returns with 35.30% over Alvarez’s 32.49%. Will this give Jorge an advantage?
• Under Pressure: Facing breakpoints, Jorge has a 1.28% higher success rate at 48.77% compared to Alvarez's 47.49%.
• Overall Match Wins: Alvarez boasts a higher win percentage over the past year at 71.83% versus Jorge’s 60.29%.
• Preferred Surface: Both players have their highest win percentage on hard courts, yet both struggle on grass with no wins.
• Competition Level Experience: Alvarez has slightly better performance in >$10K tournaments, winning 66.67% of matches compared to Jorge’s 61.02%.
• Head-to-Head Record: In their three meetings, Alvarez won twice. However, Jorge won their last encounter on hard courts.
• Opponent Quality: Jorge has faced stronger opponents on average, ranked at 347.34, compared to Alvarez's 455.27.
• Deciding Sets: Alvarez has won more deciding sets in the past year, 63% over Jorge's 58%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Jorge outperforms with a 38.91% conversion rate, while Alvarez stands at 34.03%.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

As we approach this match, several key factors suggest who might have the upper hand. Alvarez shows strength in second serve returns and overall match wins over the past year, which indicates a solid ability to capitalize on opponent weaknesses.

However, Jorge's recent victory over Alvarez in their last match on hard courts and her penchant for facing stronger opponents could provide her with a psychological and competitive edge heading into this encounter.

Despite Alvarez's superior record in deciding sets and overall victories, Jorge’s enhanced breakpoint conversion and defensive resilience may be pivotal.

Considering these statistics, Francisca Jorge appears to have a narrow advantage going into this match, suggesting she is the more likely winner.