Prediction of Erik Arutiunian vs Ognjen Milic at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11-30-25

• How do they compare on their second serve performance? Erik Arutiunian has the edge, winning 48.05% compared to Ognjen Milic's 42.11% in the past six months.
• In return game stats, who performs better? Ognjen Milic slightly leads, winning 44.86% of second serve return points versus Erik's 42.84%.
• For first serve returns, Milic also excels, achieving 26.19% compared to Arutiunian's 22.30%.
• Breakpoints saved show a small advantage for Arutiunian, saving 52.46% against Milic's 49.46%.
• Over the past year, who has a better win rate? Although Milic outperforms with a 76.67% win ratio, Arutiunian isn't far behind with 68.83%.
• Which surfaces do they excel on? Both excel on hard surfaces with a 65% win rate, but Milic has a stronger record on clay at 67%, unlike Arutiunian's 54%.
• In $10K tournament levels, Milic leads slightly with a 76.67% win rate compared to Arutiunian's 73.33%.
• The quality of opponents faced is similar, but Milic has faced slightly stronger opponents, with an average opponent rank of 400.53 compared to Arutiunian's 408.43.
• Deciding set performance is nearly equal; Arutiunian wins 65% of these sets, while Milic wins 64%.
• How efficient are they at converting breakpoints? Milic is more effective, converting 36.28% of his chances, while Arutiunian achieves 23.66%.

Editorial Prediction (November 30, 2025, UTC):

The analysis indicates that Erik Arutiunian has demonstrated notable strength in second serve performance and breakpoint saving over the last six months. These capabilities provide him a potentially crucial edge in tightly contested games where serves and saving breakpoints are critical.

Conversely, Ognjen Milic displays superior return game skills and breakpoint conversion efficiency, which could prove advantageous in breaking his opponent's serve and applying pressure during crucial game points.

Despite playing against slightly tougher opponents and having a marginally better overall win ratio and performance on clay, the two players exhibit closely matched capabilities in deciding sets, further underscoring the competitive nature of the matchup.

Taking into account the analyzed statistics and recent form, Ognjen Milic seems to have a slight upper hand. His proficiency in returning serves and capitalizing on breakpoint opportunities gives him a favorable edge to come out as the likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.