Prediction of Enrico Dalla Valle vs Eliakim Coulibaly at Athens Challenger 11-27-25

• Recent second serve stats show Enrico Dalla Valle winning 44.24% of points, slightly outperforming Eliakim Coulibaly who wins 43.76%.
• When returning second serves, Coulibaly excels with a win rate of 48.45%, compared to Dalla Valle's 43.23%.
• On first serve returns, Coulibaly again leads with 26.46% compared to Dalla Valle's 25.34%.
• Both players have relatively similar breakpoint saving capabilities, with Dalla Valle at 49.23% and Coulibaly at 48.46%.
• Over the past year, Coulibaly has a stronger match win rate at 58.62%, whereas Dalla Valle sits at 47.73%.
• Both players thrive on hard surfaces with a 55% win rate; however, Dalla Valle struggles more on indoor hard courts than Clay, which is Coulibaly's weaker surface.
• In Challenger/ITF tournaments > $10K, Coulibaly maintains a slightly higher win rate of 55.26% compared to Dalla Valle's 50.00% over the last year.
• Dalla Valle has faced tougher opponents, averaging a rank of 330 versus Coulibaly's 374.16.
• If a match goes the full distance, Coulibaly leads with a 67% success rate in deciding sets compared to Dalla Valle's 50% over the past year.
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Coulibaly has converted a higher percentage at 39.13%, surpassing Dalla Valle's 30.38%.

Editorial Prediction (November 25, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an intriguing battle between two players with distinct strengths. Enrico Dalla Valle shows slightly better performance in winning points from his second serve, which is often a key indicator in match predictions. However, Eliakim Coulibaly holds the edge in several other pivotal areas.

Coulibaly's superior return game, particularly on second serve returns, and his ability to convert breakpoints more effectively, suggests a stronger capability to disrupt Dalla Valle's service games. Additionally, Coulibaly's higher win rate in deciding sets could be crucial if the match is closely contested.

The players' performance over the past year, alongside their ability to handle pressure in breakpoint situations, slightly favors Coulibaly. While Dalla Valle has demonstrated competence against higher-ranked opponents, Coulibaly's overall statistics across various metrics convey a slight advantage.

Considering these factors, Eliakim Coulibaly appears to be the likely winner of this upcoming match, assuming both players continue to perform to their recent standards.