Emilio Nava vs Andrea Collarini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When examining the recent form of these two tennis contenders, a question emerges: who demonstrates superior second serve performance? Over the past six months, Collarini has managed to secure 42.09% of points on his second serve, slightly trailing behind Nava, who has accomplished a 46.59% success rate. Could this difference indicate a distinct edge for Nava in the upcoming match? Notably, the correlation between second serve success and match outcome accuracy is significant, making this a vital component of our analysis.

Next, we delve into the return game statistics, asking who is the more formidable returner amongst these players. Collarini, in his recent form, has captured 47.13% of his opponent's second serve points, closely rivaled by Nava's 46.96%. When it comes to returning first serves, Collarini again holds a slight lead, winning 28.52% of points, while Nava trails at 26.89%. These statistics play a crucial role in predicting who might be favored in direct encounters.

Under pressure, which player stands their ground more effectively? Collarini has successfully saved 49.42% of breakpoints in his recent matches, narrowly edged out by Nava, who has achieved a 50% save rate. This parameter holds particular sway in in-game betting scenarios. Switching to a broader performance view, over the past twelve months, Collarini has emerged victorious in 63.16% of his matches (W/L 48/28), whereas Nava has secured a win rate of 48.48% (W/L 32/34). Could Collarini's higher success rate mean a greater likelihood of victory?

Looking at surface inclination, Collarini seems most comfortable on clay, boasting a 59% win rate (W/L 526/364), while grass proves his Achilles heel, with a mere 17% win rate (W/L 1/5). Nava shares a preference for clay, where he has a 65% win rate (W/L 80/44), although he is slightly better on grass at 29% (W/L 2/5). Do these surface preferences suggest unforeseen obstacles or advantages for our players?

The level of competition faced by each player also plays a role in their respective narratives. Both have predominantly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K. Collarini’s win percentage here stands at 60.78% (W/L 31/20), with Nava close behind at 55.77% (W/L 29/23). Meanwhile, Collarini has faced opponents with an average rank of 350.38, while Nava's adversaries averaged a rank of 243.94. Does this experience against higher-ranked players prepare Nava better for their clash?

In terms of direct head-to-head contests, Collarini has bested Nava in their single prior encounter, triumphing in straight sets (7-5, 6-3) at the Murcia Challenger on clay in 2021. Their matches have averaged 1 hour and 50 minutes, yet neither player has tested each other in a tiebreak or deciding set. This absence of extreme pressure situations leaves some unpredictability about their capacity to endure high-stakes moments.

A final comparison draws on deciding set performances and breakpoint conversions. Over the last 12 months, when matches have extended to a deciding set, Collarini emerges stronger, winning 65% of such sets, surpassing Nava’s rate of 48%. Collarini also demonstrates a slight edge in recent breakpoint conversion, achieving 42.55% compared to Nava’s 38.32%. Given these factors and historical performance, it seems likely that Collarini holds a slight upper hand going into their upcoming tussle.