Elvina Kalieva vs Mika Buchnik Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Elvina Kalieva has secured 39.79% of points compared to Mika Buchnik’s 29.03%. Who would benefit more from this in the match? Elvina appears to have an advantage with her second serve.
• Examining the return stats, Mika Buchnik has an edge on second serve returns, winning 59.76% of those points, while Elvina has won 52.39%. However, on first serve returns, Elvina outperforms Mika with a success rate of 35.54% compared to Mika's 29.20%.
• Under pressure, Elvina Kalieva has successfully saved 47.63% of breakpoints in recent contests, whereas Mika Buchnik saved 41.56%. This could be pivotal in tight moments of the match.
• Looking at their performance overview, Elvina holds an advantage with a 51.43% win rate over the past year. Conversely, Mika has only won 23.53% of matches, reflecting a weaker overall form.
• Surface preferences could play a role. Elvina’s best surface is clay with a 56% win rate, while Mika excels on hard courts, also winning 56% of her matches. Could the playing surface impact the match outcome? Possibly, if it aligns more with one player's strengths.
• In terms of tournament levels, Elvina has played mostly in Challengers/ITF > $10K, winning 51.52% of her matches. Mika has participated mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K, with a win rate of 30.77%. This suggests Elvina may be more experienced in slightly higher-level competitions.
• Against better-ranked opponents, Elvina has competed with players averaging rank 315.29, whereas Mika’s opponents have an average rank of 487.65. This indicates that Elvina might be more battle-tested against stronger adversaries.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Elvina has a better track record, winning 39% of such sets compared to Mika’s 22% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing both players' recent performances and strengths reveals insightful contrasts. Elvina Kalieva exhibits a stronger second serve and better breakpoint saving capabilities, providing her an edge in potential crucial points. Her ability to stay composed under pressure and her experience against stronger competitors further highlight her preparedness for the upcoming match.

While Mika Buchnik showcases prowess in returning second serves, her overall match win rate and deciding set performances suggest a challenge in maintaining consistent high-level play. Moreover, her preference for hard courts may not be beneficial if the match is held on a different surface.

Considering these factors, Elvina Kalieva appears to hold a tangible advantage, making her the likely victor in this tennis match.