Elvina Kalieva vs Mariia Nozdrachova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Kalieva has outperformed Nozdrachova in winning points on their second serve, with 39.19% compared to 32.46%, highlighting an edge in serve reliability. Could this play a decisive role in the match outcome?
• When it comes to returning opponents' second serves, Nozdrachova has a slight advantage, winning 53.45% against Kalieva's 52.55%. Does this give Nozdrachova the upper hand in breaking Kalieva's serve?
• Kalieva leads in first serve return performance with a 36.33% success rate, overshadowing Nozdrachova's 32.18%. This indicates a potential strength in returning fast serves.
• Nozdrachova saves breakpoints with marginally more precision, at 48.28%, compared to Kalieva's 45.75%, a useful insight for predicting break point scenarios.
• Over the past year, Kalieva has been superior in overall match performance, winning 51.47% of their matches, while Nozdrachova has only secured 36.36% of wins.
• On clay, Kalieva excels with a 56% win rate, while Nozdrachova does best on hard courts, albeit with a lower success rate, suggesting different surface advantages for each player.
• Kalieva competes at a higher level—mainly in Challengers/ITF events—compared to Nozdrachova's participation in Futures/Satellites tournaments, indicating experience against tougher competition.
• Nozdrachova has faced more highly ranked opponents (average rank: 244.27) compared to Kalieva (average rank: 322.51), which could suggest resilience against stronger competition.
• In deciding sets, Nozdrachova is undefeated in the past year, showing poise, whereas Kalieva has struggled, winning only 41% of such matches.
• Both players show comparable break point conversion rates, with Kalieva slightly leading at 44.68% versus Nozdrachova's 41.94%, hinting at close encounters in crucial game moments.

Editorial Prediction (September 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Kalieva and Nozdrachova is poised to be a competitive encounter. Kalieva's stronger performance in winning points on their second serve and a better overall match win rate over the past year suggest an advantage in consistency and experience, especially on challenging surfaces like clay.

However, Nozdrachova's ability to perform under pressure, as demonstrated by their perfect record in deciding sets, adds an element of unpredictability, making them a formidable opponent in tightly contested matches.

Ultimately, Kalieva's higher level of competition and slightly superior first serve return game provide a likely edge in this matchup. Based on these factors, Kalieva appears to be the more probable victor in the upcoming tennis match.