Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of recent second serve performance, Lea Ma edges slightly ahead with a win percentage of 42.66% compared to Elvina Kalieva's 39.46%. Could this give Lea Ma an upper hand in rallies starting with the second serve? The data suggests it might.
• When examining return game efficiency over the last six months, Elvina Kalieva shows strength, capturing 53.04% of opponents' second serve points, better than Lea Ma's 50.52%. This advantage could play a crucial role during the match.
• For return effectiveness on first serves, Elvina displays a higher success rate at 35.49%, outperforming Lea Ma's 31.90%. This might indicate Elvina’s strong positioning in anticipating first serves.
• Under pressure situations, Lea Ma demonstrates a marginally better capacity to save breakpoints with a success rate of 48.20% against Elvina's 46.00%. Does this give Lea Ma a psychological advantage at crucial moments? It's possible.
• Over the past year, Lea Ma has displayed superior overall performance, winning 62.50% of matches, compared to Elvina's 51.43%. This indicates that Lea Ma could be the more formidable competitor in the current context.
• Elvina Kalieva's preferred surface is clay with a 56% win rate, while Lea Ma excels on hard courts at the same percentage. This match unfolding on hard courts appears to favor Lea Ma.
• Both competitors primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K. Lea Ma has a better win record here over the past year with 63.49%, highlighting her consistent form in these events.
• Their sole previous encounter resulted in a straight-sets victory for Lea Ma, showcasing her potential dominance in head-to-head battles.
• Though Elvina has faced tougher opponents with a higher average ranking, Lea Ma's effective challenge in lower tiers still suggests her competitive edge.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Lea Ma’s 50% win rate in deciding sets provides her with an advantage over Elvina’s 41%.

Editorial Prediction (October 15, 2025, UTC):

As we prepare for this match-up, key factors to consider include both players’ recent performances and their strengths on various surfaces.

Lea Ma’s slight advantage on the second serve, complemented by her superior overall match win percentage over the past year, positions her as a formidable contender.

Although Elvina Kalieva’s return game prowess on opponents’ serves remains noteworthy, Lea Ma's prior victory against her opponent suggests she has the edge in head-to-head clashes.

Taking into account surface preferences and competitive history, Lea Ma appears the more likely victor on the hard court stage set for their upcoming encounter.