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Elise Mertens vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mertens vs Kasatkina analysis and find out who is favored!
Elise Mertens vs Daria Kasatkina Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mertens has won 46.31% of points on his second serve, while Kasatkina has won 42.71%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mertens, in recent form, has won 57.57% of his opponent's second serve points, while Kasatkina has won 58.79%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.99% and 39.6% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Mertens has saved 55.09% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kasatkina has saved 53.9% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Mertens has won 54.9% of matches played (W/L 28/ 23), with Kasatkina winning 66.2% (W/L 47/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Mertens has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 254/ 128), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 53% (W/L 31/ 27). Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 129/ 53), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114).
- Player level: In the last year, Mertens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 64% of matches (W/L 16/ 9), where as Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Mertens winning 2 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Mertens winning 5 and Kasatkina winning 13. The last match between Mertens and Kasatkina was at the Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal, 08-08-2023, First, Hard with Daria Kasatkina getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:24:44.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Mertens and Kasatkina have played a deciding set 2 times, with Mertens winning 1 times and Kasatkina 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Mertens winning 0, and Kasatkina 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mertens has played against opponents with an average rank of 120.06 while Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 111.93.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mertens has won 41% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kasatkina has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Mertens has converted 47.8% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kasatkina has converted 47.6% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Mertens 2 - 6 Kasatkina
29
Rank
12
High
28
Age
R
Plays
2
Total6
2
Hard4
0
Clay2
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
11
Rank
8
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
Form
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
64% (432-247)
Career Total W/L
64% (363-204)
54% (13-11)
YTD W/L
64% (18-10)
$7,940,333
Career Prize Money
$8,009,541
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Elise Mertens | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Sets Won | 5 | 13 |
| Games Won | 74 | 96 |
| Aces (Total) | 14 | 9 |
| DFs (Total) | 37 | 22 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:24:44 | 1:24:44 |
| 1st Serve % | 57% (278/492) | 71% (339/475) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 60% (166/278) | 63% (212/339) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 45% (97/214) | 49% (66/136) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 46% (24/52) | 45% (30/67) |
| Return Points W% | 41% (197/475) | 47% (229/492) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 86% (7/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 14% (7/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 14% (7/1) | 0% (1/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 6-2 |
Stats 
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Elise Mertens
69%
(
42 of
61)
1st Serve %
48%
(
29 of
61)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
64%
(
27 of
42)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
12 of
32)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
39%
(
24 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
33 of
61)
70
Total Points Won
52
|
||||
| 6-3 7-5 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Elise Mertens
73%
(
58 of
80)
1st Serve %
55%
(
38 of
69)
0
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
53%
(
31 of
58)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
21 of
38)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
10 of
31)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
46%
(
37 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
38 of
69)
81
Total Points Won
68
|
||||
| 4-6 6-2 6-2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58%
(
45 of
77)
1st Serve %
76%
(
60 of
79)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
35 of
60)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
36%
(
28 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
37 of
79)
86
Total Points Won
70
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
40 of
54)
1st Serve %
64%
(
38 of
59)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
18 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
65
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Elise Mertens
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve %
53%
(
38 of
72)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
7
83%
(
33 of
40)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
42%
(
5 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
21%
(
3 of
14)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
34 of
72)
72
Total Points Won
52
|
||||
| 7-6(8) 7-5 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Elise Mertens
67%
(
61 of
91)
1st Serve %
64%
(
56 of
88)
1
Aces
2
9
Double Faults
4
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
33 of
56)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
37%
(
34 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
37 of
88)
94
Total Points Won
85
|
||||
| 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
52%
(
34 of
66)
1st Serve %
66%
(
38 of
58)
2
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
1
56%
(
19 of
34)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
53%
(
17 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
45%
(
30 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
33 of
58)
69
Total Points Won
55
|
||||
| 6-2 4-6 6-0 | |||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Elise Mertens | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 54% (13/11) | 64% (18/10) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 54% (30/26) | 58% (40/29) |
| Games Win/Loss | 51% (249/237) | 52% (338/318) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 56% (9/7) | 60% (12/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 50% (3/3) | 75% (6/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 50% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.31 | 0.12 |
| Aces Total | 73 | 39 |
| DFs per game | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| DFs Total | 103 | 131 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:39:48 | 1:53:41 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 120.96 | 112.29 |
| 1st Serve % | 56% (844/1494) | 68% (1490/2183) |
| 1st Serve W% | 67% (568/844) | 60% (890/1490) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 46% (301/650) | 43% (296/693) |
| BPs Won% Total | 48% (87/182) | 48% (139/292) |
| Return Pts W% | 43% (667/1561) | 46% (1033/2231) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Masters W/L | 38% (3/5) | 50% (5/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 64% (9/5) | 75% (12/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 54% (13/24) | 64% (18/28) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/2) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (4/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st set W, W | 80% (15/12) | 82% (17/14) |
| 1st set W, L | 20% (15/3) | 18% (17/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 11% (9/1) | 36% (11/4) |
Elise Mertens Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
70 of
95)
1st Serve %
58%
(
48 of
83)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
6
67%
(
47 of
70)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
34 of
48)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
11 of
35)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
38 of
83)
99
Total Points Won
79
|
3-6 6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elise Mertens
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
53%
(
26 of
49)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
15 of
26)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
9 of
23)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
39%
(
25 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Tatjana Maria
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve %
56%
(
35 of
62)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
8 of
27)
80%
(
8 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
35 of
62)
74
Total Points Won
50
|
6-1 4-6 6-0 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Elise Mertens
62%
(
37 of
60)
1st Serve %
53%
(
25 of
47)
5
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
76%
(
28 of
37)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
33%
(
20 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
23 of
47)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Varvara Gracheva
47%
(
46 of
97)
1st Serve %
73%
(
67 of
92)
6
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
44 of
67)
47%
(
24 of
51)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
6 of
25)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
43%
(
42 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
97
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Elina Svitolina
63%
(
40 of
63)
1st Serve %
71%
(
25 of
35)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
73%
(
29 of
40)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
37%
(
23 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
17 of
35)
57
Total Points Won
41
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Taylor Townsend
Player
Elise Mertens
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
46%
(
22 of
48)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
14 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
57
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Cori Gauff
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve %
54%
(
26 of
48)
3
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
18%
(
2 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
7 of
22)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
14 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
31
|
6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Naomi Osaka
62%
(
49 of
79)
1st Serve %
38%
(
29 of
76)
5
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
6
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
23 of
29)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
17 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
41%
(
32 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
76)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Xinyu Wang
54%
(
25 of
46)
1st Serve %
57%
(
41 of
72)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
88%
(
22 of
25)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
21 of
41)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
16 of
31)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
35 of
72)
68
Total Points Won
50
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Daria Kasatkina
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve %
77%
(
71 of
92)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
38 of
71)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
88
Total Points Won
74
|
3-6 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77%
(
67 of
87)
1st Serve %
62%
(
48 of
77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66%
(
44 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
25%
(
5 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
44%
(
38 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
79
|
7-6(5) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Cristina Bucsa
66%
(
71 of
108)
1st Serve %
80%
(
90 of
113)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
2
51%
(
36 of
71)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
43 of
90)
46%
(
17 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
71%
(
10 of
14)
51%
(
55 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
59 of
113)
112
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
36 of
71)
69
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65%
(
62 of
96)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
17 of
51)
50%
(
10 of
20)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
57 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
96
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anhelina Kalinina
59%
(
32 of
54)
1st Serve %
67%
(
40 of
60)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
47%
(
15 of
32)
1st Serve Won
33%
(
13 of
40)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
82%
(
9 of
11)
Break Points Won
63%
(
5 of
8)
54%
(
29 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
68%
(
41 of
60)
66
Total Points Won
48
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Ashlyn Krueger
61%
(
52 of
85)
1st Serve %
70%
(
50 of
71)
1
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
3
58%
(
30 of
52)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
32 of
50)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
46%
(
39 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
33 of
71)
79
Total Points Won
77
|
6-3 0-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
33 of
55)
1st Serve %
71%
(
42 of
59)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
61%
(
20 of
33)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
20 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Claire Liu
62%
(
13 of
21)
1st Serve %
59%
(
24 of
41)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
85%
(
11 of
13)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
38%
(
3 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
33%
(
7 of
21)
Rtn Points Won
63%
(
26 of
41)
40
Total Points Won
22
|
6-0 1-0 ret. | H2H | ||
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