Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Cocciaretto wins 40.37% of points on her second serve compared to Swiatek's 40.12%. Is this difference significant enough to impact the match outcome? While slight, this stat hints at Cocciaretto having a marginal edge in this area.
• Return Game Stats: Swiatek exceeds Cocciaretto with a 49.55% win rate on her opponent's second serve points, whereas Cocciaretto has a 48.55% rate. On first serve returns, Cocciaretto leads with 33.45% compared to Swiatek's 29.64%. Could Cocciaretto's stronger first-serve returns make a difference? It might provide an advantage in return games.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Cocciaretto saves 50.47% of breakpoints, slightly better than Swiatek's 45.24%. This indicates that Cocciaretto might handle pressure situations on serve more effectively.
• Performance Overview: Swiatek leads with an impressive 81.69% match win rate over the last year, whereas Cocciaretto holds 45.65%. This suggests Swiatek's general consistency and form are superior overall.
• Best Surface: Both players excel on clay. Cocciaretto has a 66% win rate on clay, but Swiatek holds a significant advantage with an 88% rate. Are the surfaces an essential factor? Definitely, on clay, Swiatek stands out more.
• Player Level: Cocciaretto competes mainly on the Main tour, with a 42.11% win rate, whereas Swiatek performs at the Masters level with a 79.41% win rate. This disparity highlights a difference in performance levels and competition exposure.
• Opponent Quality Stats: Swiatek has faced higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 49.96 compared to Cocciaretto's 138.02. How does opponent quality impact predictions? Facing stronger players may better prepare Swiatek for tougher matches.
• Deciding Set Performance: If a match extends to a deciding set, Swiatek has the upper hand, winning 75% of them, compared to Cocciaretto's 67% rate.
• Break Point Conversion: Swiatek has a slightly superior breakpoint conversion rate at 39.68% versus Cocciaretto's 37.78%, indicating sharper play in critical moments.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Iga Swiatek's upcoming match showcases an intriguing battle of strengths and weaknesses, where small margins could define the outcome. Cocciaretto's ability to slightly outshine Swiatek in the second serve points suggests marginal strength in this aspect, though Swiatek compensates with her high second-serve return rate.

Cocciaretto demonstrates resilience under pressure, saving breakpoints effectively. However, Swiatek's superior win rate over the past year and her performance against top-tier opponents signifies greater consistency and experience at a higher competitive level.

On clay, both players are adept, but Swiatek's extraordinary record sets her apart. Furthermore, her impressive deciding set performance and slight edge in breakpoint conversion add to her advantage.

Given these comparative elements, Iga Swiatek is the likely winner in this matchup, with her consistent high-level performance and tactical advantages in critical points providing the edge.