Elina Svitolina vs Peyton Stearns Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Stearns has a recent form of winning 39.65% of second serve points, closely matched by Svitolina's 39.7%. Does this slight edge in second serve success favor Svitolina? It seems a marginal advantage.
• Return Game Stats: Stearns excels in returning by winning 52.64% of opponents' second serve points compared to Svitolina's 51.26%. This difference suggests Stearns might have a superior return ability.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Stearns saves 51.09% of breakpoints, while Svitolina saves 46.85%. Could Stearns' superior breakpoint saving offer her a strategic edge?
• Performance Overview: Svitolina outperforms with a 71.93% match win rate over the past year, whereas Stearns holds 59.65%. Does this overall win rate put Svitolina in the driver's seat?
• Best Surface: Both players share strengths on hard courts with 68% win rates, but Svitolina has more experience (W/L 292/138) compared to Stearns (W/L 15/7).
• Player Level: Svitolina wins 70.83% of her matches at the Masters series compared to Stearns' 66.67%. Does this highlight Svitolina's potential to perform under high-level competition?
• Opponent Quality: Svitolina faces higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 67.56 compared to Stearns' 84.7, suggesting more experience against elite players.
• Deciding Set Performance: Stearns wins 68% of deciding sets in the last 12 months, slightly better than Svitolina's 61%. Could this affect the outcome if they go the distance?
• Break Point Conversion: Both players are nearly identical, with Stearns at 35.44% and Svitolina at 35.47%. This reveals no significant advantage in converting breakpoints.

Editorial Prediction (May 13, 2025, UTC):

Svitolina's slightly better second serve performance, along with her consistent match win rate of 71.93% over the past year, suggests she has a robust overall capability coming into this matchup.

While Stearns shows strength in returning and saving breakpoints, Svitolina's extensive experience against higher-ranked opponents may provide her with crucial insights and strategies.

On their favored surfaces, both players perform well; however, Svitolina's vast experience on hard courts gives her a potential advantage, especially since both share their best win rates on these surfaces.

Given these factors, Svitolina emerges as the likely winner of this contest. Her blend of experience and slightly superior statistical metrics presents a formidable challenge for Stearns.