Elias Ymer vs Ryan Peniston Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Recently, Ryan Peniston and Elias Ymer are nearly identical in winning second serve points, with Peniston at 42.11% and Ymer at 42.74%. Does such a slight difference predict the winner? Not significantly, but Ymer has a slight edge.
• Return game analysis: Peniston has been successful in winning 47.37% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Ymer edges him slightly with 47.83%. Their first serve return stats show Peniston leading at 29.02% over Ymer's 27.97%.
• Pressure situations: Elias Ymer has a slight advantage in saving breakpoints, at 53.03% compared to Peniston's 51.72%, which can be crucial in tense moments.
• Overall performance: Over the last year, Peniston has an edge with a 72.53% win rate compared to Ymer's 50.77%, highlighting his consistency.
• Surface preferences: Peniston excels on hard courts, winning 67%, while Ymer favors clay, with the same 67% success rate. Who fares better on hard courts — their next surface? It's Peniston.
• Player activity level: Peniston has been dominant in ITF level matches, with 82.61% wins, while Ymer has been more active in higher-level Challenger events, winning 50.94%.
• Direct encounters: Historically, Peniston has the upper hand, winning their only match, suggesting a psychological advantage.
• Average opponent ranking: Over the past year, Ymer has faced tougher opponents with an average rank of 276.4, while Peniston's opponents' average rank was 399.41, reflecting different competition levels.
• Deciding set success: Peniston has been more successful in deciding sets, winning 76%, compared to Ymer's 58%.
• Break point conversion: Peniston also leads slightly in converting breakpoints at 37.76%, over Ymer's 35.91%, crucial for turning matches in their favor.

Editorial Prediction (November 11, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Ryan Peniston and Elias Ymer appears closely contested based on recent stats.

Both players exhibit comparable second serve performance, with only marginal differences. However, Peniston's slightly superior return statistics, particularly on first serves, could grant him an advantage in breaking Ymer's serve.

Though Elias Ymer encounters stiffer opposition, Peniston's remarkable win rate over the last year signifies greater form consistency. His proficiency on hard courts further enhances his likelihood of success in this upcoming match.

Peniston's edge in historical encounters and better performance under pressure in deciding sets suggests confidence in critical match moments.

Considering all factors, Ryan Peniston appears the more probable victor in this upcoming face-off.