Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Denis Shapovalov has a slight advantage in recent second serve performance, winning 43.79% of points compared to Elias Ymer's 42.90%. Could this minor difference influence the match outcome? Possibly, as serve performance often predicts match success.
• In return games, Elias Ymer outshines by winning 47.25% of opponents' second serve points versus Shapovalov's 45.21%. For first serve returns, Ymer also leads, with 28.29% over Shapovalov’s 25.38%.
• When it comes to resilience on court, Shapovalov has saved 50.98% of breakpoints, while Ymer shows slight superiority with 52.88% saved. How crucial is breakpoint saving for this matchup? It can be a key factor under pressure.
• Overall performance in the last year suggests Shapovalov has a higher win ratio at 60.38% compared to Ymer's 50.79%. What impact does this have? It indicates more consistent performance from Shapovalov.
• Surface preferences show Shapovalov excelling on indoor hard courts (62%), whereas Ymer is strongest on clay (62%). How might surface affect their play? The match surface could tilt the balance.
• Recent competition levels indicate Shapovalov plays against tougher opponents, averaging rank 93.28 while Ymer's opponents average rank is 277.7.
• In deciding sets, Ymer holds a slight edge, winning 56% whereas Shapovalov has 54%. Could this affect the outcome if the match goes the distance? It potentially favors Ymer slightly.

Editorial Prediction (October 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Denis Shapovalov and Elias Ymer features intriguing dynamics shaped by their recent performances and historical tendencies.

Denis Shapovalov shows greater consistency overall, with a higher win percentage in matches played and better performance against higher-ranked opponents. His recent form, particularly in second serve points and breakpoint saves, suggests reliability in key moments.

Although Elias Ymer demonstrates strong return stats and a slight advantage in deciding sets, the level of competition and surface favoritism slightly tilt the balance toward Shapovalov. Considering these factors, Denis Shapovalov appears more likely to secure victory in this contest.