Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How significant is second serve performance in predicting the match outcome? Rybakina has a slight edge, winning 43.45% of second serve points compared to Valentova's 39.96% over the last six months.
• Examining return game stats, Valentova has been stronger on both second and first serve returns, capturing 49.22% and 33.24% of points respectively, while Rybakina trails with 46.82% and 25.69%.
• In high-pressure situations, Rybakina has a better record of saving breakpoints, with a 55.19% success rate compared to Valentova’s 47.87%.
• How does overall match win percentage reflect player performance? Over the past year, Valentova has a higher win rate of 80.95%, while Rybakina has won 70.97% of her matches.
• Both players have different surface preferences. Rybakina excels on grass with a 73% win rate, while Valentova has her best record on hard courts, boasting an 88% win rate.
• Rybakina has mostly competed at a higher level, playing primarily in the Masters series with a 64.29% win rate, whereas Valentova has largely participated in Challenger/ITF tournaments with notable success, winning 80.85% of her matches.
• Rybakina has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 67, compared to Valentova's average opponent rank of 223.56.
• Valentova has been more successful in deciding sets, winning 67% of them, while Rybakina has won 55%.
• The ability to convert break points is crucial; Valentova has an advantage here, converting 39.92% of opportunities compared to Rybakina’s 30.69%.

Editorial Prediction (August 27, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming match, several key performance indicators stand out. Rybakina's edge on second serve performance slightly favors her when initiating play but is counterbalanced by Valentova's stronger return game, particularly on first serves.

The heat of competition often amplifies pressure scenarios where Rybakina has been adept at saving breakpoints, but Valentova has not only faced less challenging opponents but also demonstrated remarkable resilience by excelling in three-set matches.

Surface preferences will also play a significant role; the choice between hard and grass could sway the dynamics in their encounters. Rybakina's experience against higher-ranked players brings seasoned expertise to the court, yet Valentova's impressive surface record indicates that she may comfortably exploit conditions.

The overall statistical analysis points to Valentova as having the upper hand in pivotal areas, yet the context of competition levels merits close race consideration.

Taking all factors into account, Valentova appears slightly favored to win this upcoming match.