Elena Rybakina vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: When evaluating second serve effectiveness over the past six months, Elena Rybakina has outperformed Ekaterina Alexandrova by winning 43.24% of points compared to Alexandrova's 40.13%.
• Return Game Prowess: Ekaterina Alexandrova holds the advantage in return games, securing 49.59% on her opponents' second serve points, which is slightly higher than Rybakina's 47.84%.
• First Serve Returns: Alexandrova demonstrates superior first serve return capability, with a success rate of 30.03%, as opposed to Rybakina's 25.48%.
• Breakpoints Under Pressure: Rybakina excels in high-pressure scenarios, saving 57.46% of breakpoints, while Alexandrova saves 47.38%.
• Overall Match Performance: Over the past year, Rybakina exhibits a higher overall match win rate at 71.62%, edging out Alexandrova's 66.67%.
• Surface Preferences: Rybakina prefers Grass surfaces with a 73% win rate, whereas Alexandrova thrives on Indoor Hard surfaces with the same win percentage. Both players have lower success on Hard courts, Rybakina at 69% and Alexandrova at 57%.
• Event Level Performance: Rybakina has mainly competed in Masters level tournaments this year with a 63.64% win rate, whereas Alexandrova has played more Main Tour events, boasting a 75.00% win rate.
• Head-to-Head Record: Alexandrova leads the head-to-head matchup, winning 3 out of 4 matches and securing 6 out of 8 total sets played between them.
• Deciding Sets Record: Rybakina shows slightly better form in deciding sets, winning 54% compared to Alexandrova's 50% over the past year.
• Quality of Opposition: Alexandrova has faced slightly stronger competition over the last year, with her opponents averaging a rank of 57.26 against Rybakina's 63.61.

Editorial Prediction (October 18, 2025, UTC):

As we approach this intriguing match-up, Elena Rybakina appears to have a slight edge in several key performance indicators, such as second serve success and breakpoint resilience. Her overall win rate over the last year also suggests she has been more consistent at a higher level.

However, Ekaterina Alexandrova's head-to-head record against Rybakina offers her a psychological advantage. Additionally, her superior return stats may provide crucial opportunities to capitalize on Rybakina's serves.

While both athletes showcase significant strengths, Alexandrova's ability to challenge Rybakina on the return games and her past success in their encounters put her in a favorable position. Based on these factors, Ekaterina Alexandrova is most likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming match.