Ekaterina Makarova (1996) vs Maria Golovina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

How crucial is second serve performance when predicting a tennis match outcome? Analyzing recent form over the past six months, we find Makarova securing 43.64% of points on her second serve, while Golovina edges slightly ahead with 43.94%. This subtle difference might seem minimal, yet this statistic may play a significant role in forecasting the match's victor. Additionally, the current return game stats shed light on another aspect of the duel: can Makarova and Golovina capitalize on their rivals' weaker second serves? Recent figures indicate Makarova has claimed 52.86% of such points from her opponents, whereas Golovina boasts a more formidable 59.76%. If first serve returns are key, Makarova and Golovina are neck and neck, with percentages hovering around the mid-40s. But what does this mean for this head-to-head encounter?

Under pressure, who holds the edge in breakpoint scenarios? Makarova has managed to stave off 46.86% of breakpoints against her, but Golovina elevates her game here, saving an impressive 55.17%. When it comes to match performance over the last year, Golovina's winning percentage of 68.29% outshines Makarova's 44.16%. This disparity paints a clearer picture of who enters the match as the favorite. Surfaces can also play a significant role: both players show proficiency on hard courts, with Golovina achieving a 70% win rate compared to Makarova's 59%. Notably, Makarova struggles on grass, with a 0% win rate, a detail perhaps less relevant here, but undeniably telling.

Which tournaments have these players dominated the most? Makarova spent the past year primarily in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, winning 45% of her matches. Meanwhile, Golovina excelled in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments at the $10K level, claiming victory in 65.63% of her encounters. Despite these victories being relative to event levels, Golovina's success marks her as the player in better form. How about the quality of opposition faced? Makarova tends to contest with slightly higher-ranked players, averaging 373.97 in ranking, compared to Golovina’s average opponent ranking of 418.15. When matches extend into deciding sets, both athletes have similar records with Makarova securing 54% of these nail-biting finales while Golovina edges again with 56%.

Converting breakpoints into opportunities is another telling metric. Recently, Makarova converts 47.35% of the chances she gets, while Golovina slightly surpasses her with 52.08%. With these statistics in mind, Golovina's edge in most critical areas, from recent performance to her proficiency under pressure and consistent victories in the past year, positions her as the stronger contender in this match. Based on these insights, Golovina is the likely victor in this intriguing tennis face-off.