Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Alexandrova slightly edges out Swiatek by winning 39.46% of points compared to 38.97% from Swiatek.
• Swiatek has won 47.86% of points on her opponent's second serve returns, while Alexandrova has a marginally higher success rate at 49.04%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Alexandrova demonstrates a stronger performance with 30.65%, surpassing Swiatek's 27.26%.
• Under pressure, Alexandrova has saved 47.62% of breakpoints, showing a stronger resolve compared to Swiatek's 44.42%.
• Over the past year, Swiatek boasts an impressive win rate of 80.56%, while Alexandrova has secured 65.63% of her matches.
• Swiatek shines on Clay with an outstanding career win percentage of 87%, whereas Alexandrova performs best on Indoor Hard surfaces, with a win rate of 69%.
• In terms of tournament levels, Swiatek excels at the Masters series with a win percentage of 76.47%, whereas Alexandrova shows aptitude on the Main tour with a 70.97% win rate.
• Historically head-to-head, Swiatek leads with four wins out of six matches against Alexandrova and has also won all deciding-set encounters.
• In extreme pressure tiebreak situations, Swiatek has been slightly more successful with two wins to Alexandrova's one.
• Considering opponent quality, Swiatek has faced more highly ranked players, with an average opponent ranking of 47.17 compared to Alexandrova's 62.47.
• In deciding set performances over the last year, Swiatek comes out stronger, winning 75% compared to Alexandrova's 55%.
• Recent break point conversion rates also give Swiatek a slight edge at 36.36% over Alexandrova's 34.32%.

Editorial Prediction (September 1, 2025, UTC):

In upcoming matches, specific statistics present a nuanced view of both players' capabilities. Both Swiatek and Alexandrova have shown relative strengths in various areas, but Swiatek exhibits a consistent advantage in head-to-head matches and decisive sets over Alexandrova.

While Alexandrova excels slightly in recent second serve and return performance, Swiatek's significant win rate, strength under pressure, and superior performance in critical match moments provide her with a definitive advantage.

Swiatek’s matches against higher-ranked opponents and her ability to convert break points effectively further showcase her readiness and competitive edge.

With these factors considered, Iga Swiatek is projected to be the likely winner in this upcoming encounter against Alexandrova.