Egor Gerasimov vs Taisei Ichikawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Efficiency: Ichikawa has a 43.07% win rate on their second serve in the last six months, whereas Gerasimov performs slightly better with a 47.36% win rate. How important is this, and what does it imply? An edge in second serve points often influences match outcomes.
• Return Game Strength: Recently, Ichikawa has capitalized on 51.35% of their opponent's second serves, surpassing Gerasimov's 44.84%. In first serve returns, Ichikawa again excels with a 26.82% success rate compared to Gerasimov’s 22.93%. Could this indicate a stronger return game for Ichikawa?
• Handling Pressure: When it comes to saving breakpoints, Gerasimov has managed to save 60.39%, slightly better than Ichikawa's 56.22%.
• Overall Match Record: Over the past year, Ichikawa boasts a higher match win percentage of 52.08% compared to Gerasimov's 46.15%. What does this say about each player’s consistency?
• Surface Preference: Ichikawa thrives on clay with a 54% win rate, whereas Gerasimov's prowess is seen on indoor hard courts with a 61% win rate. Could these surface preferences impact their play in this match?
• Recent Competitive Level: Ichikawa primarily competes at Futures level, winning 51.35% of these matches, while Gerasimov plays at a higher Challenger level, with a win percentage of 30%. Does this suggest differing competition levels?
• Opponent Quality: In the past year, Ichikawa faced opponents averaging a rank of 450.79, while Gerasimov faced slightly tougher competition with an average rank of 419.
• Deciding Sets: Intriguingly, Gerasimov has a stronger deciding set record, winning 57% of such matches, compared to Ichikawa’s 39%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: In clutch situations, Ichikawa converts breakpoints at a rate of 34.23%, outpacing Gerasimov’s 28.4% conversion rate. Is this an indicator of superior performance when the stakes are high?

Editorial Prediction (August 7, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performances, Gerasimov appears to have a minor advantage in second serve points, a factor often crucial in narrowly contested matches. However, Ichikawa demonstrates superior return game strength, which could prove pivotal.

Ichikawa’s edge in breakpoint conversion indicates a strong ability to capitalize on crucial points, which might play a decisive role. Still, Gerasimov's stronger record under pressure — saving more breakpoints and performing well in deciding sets — offers him a strategic advantage.

While Ichikawa's consistency is evident in his higher overall win rate over the past year, the higher level of competition faced by Gerasimov cannot be overlooked. Surface preferences slightly favor neither player unless this match is on one player's preferred surface.

Ultimately, while both players bring different strengths, Gerasimov's skills in handling pressure and his ability to secure deciding sets suggest he might be poised for victory in this encounter.