Dmitry Popko vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve efficiency has been stronger for Popko, who recently won 45.96% of points on their second serve, compared to Bailly's 39.42%. Could this provide Popko an advantage? It often impacts match predictions.
• In recent return game form, Popko slightly edges Bailly by winning 44.62% of opponents' second serve points, while Bailly stands at 44.14%.
• Conversely, Bailly shines with first serve return success at 28.58%, slightly outperforming Popko's 26.28%. Could this influence their chances in the match?
• Regarding breakpoint defense, Popko has been more resilient, saving 52.28% compared to Bailly's 45.43%, a significant stat for pressure scenarios during the match.
• Over the past year, Bailly has demonstrated stronger match-winning consistency, with a win rate of 66.67% compared to Popko's 43.64%.
• Popko excels on clay with a career surface win rate of 65%, but struggles on grass. Bailly, meanwhile, favors hard courts, boasting a 69% win rate.
• Evaluating player level participation, Popko has mainly competed in Challenger/ITF level tournaments, while Bailly has found success in Futures/Satellites, winning 66.67% of matches there.
• Examining opponent quality, Popko has faced higher-ranked players (average rank 242.82) than Bailly (average rank 385.08). Could this experience against tougher opponents be beneficial?
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Bailly appears to have the upper hand, winning 57% of such sets compared to Popko’s 36% success rate.
• Bailly’s recent breaker conversion of 39.3% exceeds Popko’s 32.67%. Could this indicate Bailly's clutch performance in critical moments?

Editorial Prediction (July 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match features two players with contrasting strengths and weaknesses. Popko demonstrates a stronger second-serve performance and a notable ability to save breakpoints, which might give him a tactical edge under pressure.

However, Bailly has shown consistent match-winning form over the past year and excels in converting breakpoints, crucial when capitalizing on opportunities against opponents.

While Popko has more experience against higher-ranked competitors, Bailly’s performance in deciding sets suggests a resilience that could prove pivotal.

Considering the overall analysis, Bailly appears to have a slight edge heading into this match, making him the more likely victor based on current performance data and statistical trends.