Prediction of Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Toufik Sahtali at M15 Monastir 12-06-25

• Second Serve Performance: In the past six months, Dimitris Sakellaridis has won 43.23% of points on his second serve while Toufik Sahtali has won 41.65%. Could this slight edge in second serve performance influence the match outcome in favor of Sakellaridis?
• Return Game Stats: When returning second serves, Sakellaridis wins 49.11% of points, slightly trailing Sahtali's 49.18%. Yet, on first serve returns, Sakellaridis shows a solid advantage, winning 32.33% compared to Sahtali's 28.35%, indicating a potential for greater defensive strength against serves.
• Performance Under Pressure: Both players exhibit similar abilities under pressure, with Sakellaridis saving 54.76% of breakpoints and Sahtali saving 53.33%, a critical stat for those keen on in-game betting.
• Yearly Performance Overview: Sakellaridis boasts a higher win rate over the past year at 63.97% compared to Sahtali's 60.53%, suggesting more consistent overall performance.
• Preferred Playing Surfaces: Both players achieve their highest win percentages on hard courts (56%), but Sahtali shows better adaptability on clay courts, winning 53% versus Sakellaridis' 39%.
• Level of Competition: Over the last year, Sakellaridis competed against a higher caliber of players, averaging an opponent rank of 54.13, whereas Sahtali's opponents had an average rank of 299.87.
• Deciding Set Performance: In deciding sets, Sakellaridis has a slight edge with a 60% win rate compared to Sahtali's 59%, a factor to consider in closely contested matches.
• Head-to-Head Record: Sakellaridis leads the direct encounters, having won their only previous match in straight sets at the M 15 Monastir, indicating a psychological and practical advantage.
• Break Point Conversion: Sakellaridis shows a better ability to capitalize on break opportunities, converting 40.73% compared to Sahtali's 36.33%, a key factor in gaining a decisive edge.

Editorial Prediction (December 5, 2025, UTC):

As Dimitris Sakellaridis and Toufik Sahtali prepare to face off, Sakellaridis holds a slight edge in several critical areas. His superior performance in pressure situations, combined with a higher overall win rate and stronger competition faced, indicates a potential upper hand.

His ability to convert breakpoints more efficiently and his experience of winning their sole previous encounter adds to the prospects of Sakellaridis taking the upcoming match.

On the other hand, while Sahtali's return game is competitive, his lesser breakpoint conversion rate and lower level of opposition could hinder his potential to upset his rival.

Given these considerations, Dimitris Sakellaridis is the predicted favorite to win the match, leveraging his slight statistical advantages and previous head-to-head success.