Denis Shapovalov vs Miomir Kecmanovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of performance on the second serve, Miomir Kecmanovic has a slight advantage, winning 43.74% of points compared to Denis Shapovalov's 42.11% over the last 6 months. Does this matter? Yes, given the correlation with match predictions.
• Looking at return game stats, Kecmanovic seems stronger as he has won 49.72% of opponents' second serve points, while Shapovalov has managed 46.36%.
• Under pressure, both players show similar resilience with Kecmanovic saving 50.90% of breakpoints and Shapovalov closely behind at 50.53%.
• Shapovalov has a better match win rate over the last year, winning 54.17% of his matches, surpassing Kecmanovic's 48.28% win rate.
• On indoor hard courts, Shapovalov excels, winning 62% of his matches which is also his best surface, whereas Kecmanovic's best performance comes on clay, also at 62%.
• Regarding recent competition level, Shapovalov has a higher win percentage at 66.67% in main tour matches compared to Kecmanovic's 50%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Shapovalov has been dominant, winning all 6 previous matches against Kecmanovic.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Shapovalov appears more likely to come out on top, having won 62% of deciding sets, against Kecmanovic's 43% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (December 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Denis Shapovalov and Miomir Kecmanovic presents an intriguing matchup. Recent performance on second serves and return games suggest a slight statistical edge for Kecmanovic. However, Shapovalov's overall performance in the last year displays more consistency and higher success rates in key areas such as main tour match wins.

Historically, Shapovalov has had a clear advantage in direct encounters against Kecmanovic. He boasts an unbeaten record in their head-to-head matches, which can't be overlooked.

Given Shapovalov's strength on indoor hard courts, where their last encounter also took place, alongside his superior performance in deciding sets, the odds are in favor of Shapovalov securing another victory in this match.