Denis Shapovalov vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
l
w
l
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
26
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
23
C. Rank
63
10
Best Rank
30
5
Total Titles
0
2
YTD Titles
0
$9.8M
Career Money
$2.5M
Left-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
26
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
23
C. Rank
63
10
Best Rank
30
5
Total Titles
0
2
YTD Titles
0
$9.8M
Career Money
$2.5M
Left-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Shapovalov 1 - 1 Arnaldi
They have played 6 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 3. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Denis Shapovalov was at the Miami Open - Miami, 24-03-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 7-6(7).
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Shapovalov | 1 |
| Arnaldi | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R3) Miami Open - Miami(03-24-24)
Matteo Arnaldi
6
7
Denis Shapovalov
3
6
(R2) French Open - Paris(05-31-23)
Denis Shapovalov
6
3
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
2
6
3
3
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $9,838,100 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 59.23% (337-232) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 0 | Hard | 1 |
| 10 | Titles | 6 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 54.17% (26-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 0 |
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Shapovalov has won 42.86% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 46.95% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.74% and 25.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Denis Shapovalov has saved 51.04% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Shapovalov has won 53.06% of matches played (W/L 26/23), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Denis Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 86/53), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Denis Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/9), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Denis Shapovalov winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 3.
- The last match between Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Miami Open - Miami, 24-03-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 7-6(7).
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:17:21.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.55 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.22.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Shapovalov has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Shapovalov has converted 37.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Denis Shapovalov vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 3 |
| 30 | Games Won | 27 |
| 7 | Aces (Total) | 7 |
| 5 | Total Double Faults | 10 |
| 2:17:21 | Average Match Time | 2:17:21 |
| 57% (89/156) | 1st Serve % | 56% (111/200) |
| 80% (71/89) | 1st Serve Win % | 63% (70/111) |
| 58% (39/67) | 2nd Serve Win % | 61% (54/89) |
| 30% (6/20) | Break Pts Won % | 100% (3/3) |
| 38% (76/200) | Return Points Win % | 29% (46/156) |
| 0% (0/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Shapovalov 49%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Shapovalov 51%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Shapovalov 60%, Arnaldi 65%.
D. Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca | L | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel - 20-10-2025 | ||||
QF Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca | L | 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
R2  Valentin RoyerV. Royer | W | 7-6(3) 6-2 | ||
R1  Marcos GironM. Giron | W | 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) | ||
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025 | ||||
SF  Casper RuudC. Ruud | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3  Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 59.23% (337/232) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 56.43% (821/634) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 52.62% (7561/6808) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 59.51% (147/100) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 60.31% (79/52) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 61.87% (86/53) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 48.08% (25/27) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.59 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 4171 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.41 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 2887 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:42:18 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 309.79 | Average Opponent Rank | 302.44 |
| 59% (24730/42109) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 76% (18675/24730) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 52% (8961/17378) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 39% (1393/3558) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 36% (15547/42704) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 60.98% (50/32) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 53.78% (64/55) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 54.29% (19/16) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 54.68% (111/92) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 60.00% (33/22) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 80.00% (60/15) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 59% (280/474) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 58% (52/89) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 50% (130/261) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 57% (105/185) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 86% (321/276) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 14% (321/45) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 24% (246/58) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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