Denis Shapovalov vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi

Denis Shapovalov

CAN

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$9.8M

Career Money

$2.5M

Left-Handed

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$9.8M

Career Money

$2.5M

Left-Handed

Plays

Head-to-head: Shapovalov 1 - 1 Arnaldi

They have played 6 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 3. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Denis Shapovalov was at the Miami Open - Miami, 24-03-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 7-6(7).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Shapovalov	1
Arnaldi	1

Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R3) Miami Open - Miami(03-24-24)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Denis Shapovalov

(R2) French Open - Paris(05-31-23)

Stats

Denis Shapovalov

Matteo Arnaldi

D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

D. Shapovalov	Stats	M. Arnaldi
$9,838,100	Career Prize Money	$2,532,865
59.23% (337-232)	Career Total W/L	59.90% (239-160)
1	Clay	0
0	Hard	1
10	Titles	6
1	Total H2H Matches	1
54.17% (26-22)	YTD Win/Loss	45.45% (20-24)
2	YTD Titles	0

D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Shapovalov has won 42.11% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.58%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 46.36% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.20%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.89% and 24.35% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Denis Shapovalov has saved 50.53% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.68% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Shapovalov has won 54.17% of matches played (W/L 26/22), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Denis Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 86/53), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
Player level: In the last year, Denis Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/9), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Denis Shapovalov winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 3.
The last match between Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Miami Open - Miami, 24-03-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 7-6(7).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:17:21.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 94.04 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.8.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Shapovalov has won 62% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Shapovalov has converted 36.79% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Denis Shapovalov vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

D. Shapovalov	Stats	M. Arnaldi
1	H2H Matches Won	1
3	Sets Won	3
30	Games Won	27
7	Aces (Total)	7
5	Total Double Faults	10
2:17:21	Average Match Time	2:17:21
57% (89/156)	1st Serve %	56% (111/200)
80% (71/89)	1st Serve Win %	63% (70/111)
58% (39/67)	2nd Serve Win %	61% (54/89)
30% (6/20)	Break Pts Won %	100% (3/3)
38% (76/200)	Return Points Win %	29% (46/156)
0% (0/1)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

D. Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
R1 Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca	L	5-7 6-4 6-3	Stats
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel - 20-10-2025
QF Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca	L	3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.	Stats
R2 Valentin RoyerV. Royer	W	7-6(3) 6-2	Stats
R1 Marcos GironM. Giron	W	6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4)	Stats
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025
SF Casper RuudC. Ruud	L	6-3 6-4	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

View All

D. Shapovalov vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Shapovalov	Stats	M. Arnaldi
59.23% (337/232)	YTD Win/Loss	59.90% (239/160)
56.43% (821/634)	Sets Win/Loss	57.91% (560/407)
52.62% (7561/6808)	Games Win/Loss	52.58% (4842/4366)
59.51% (147/100)	Hard Win/Loss	60.71% (85/55)
60.31% (79/52)	Clay Win/Loss	65.35% (132/70)
61.87% (86/53)	Indoor Hard W/L	38.30% (18/29)
48.08% (25/27)	Grass Win/Loss	40.00% (4/6)
0.59	Aces Per Game	0.36
4171	Aces Total	1621
0.41	Double Faults Per Game	0.25
2887	Total Double Faults	1126
1:42:18	Average Match Time	1:45:46
310.62	Average Opponent Rank	302.24
59% (24730/42109)	1st Serve %	59% (16488/28035)
76% (18675/24730)	1st Serve Win %	68% (11281/16488)
52% (8961/17378)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (5794/11542)
39% (1393/3558)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (1155/2712)
36% (15547/42704)	Return Points Win %	40% (10868/27336)
60.98% (50/32)	Slam W/L	56.25% (18/14)
53.78% (64/55)	Masters W/L	54.39% (31/26)
54.29% (19/16)	Cups W/L	80.00% (4/1)
54.68% (111/92)	Main Tour W/L	48.57% (34/36)
60.00% (33/22)	Challenger W/L	59.84% (73/49)
80.00% (60/15)	Futures W/L	70.27% (78/33)
59% (280/474)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (223/367)
58% (52/89)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	43% (12/28)
50% (130/261)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (76/131)
57% (105/185)	Deciding Set Win %	51% (68/133)
86% (321/276)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (242/200)
14% (321/45)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (242/42)
24% (246/58)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	24% (156/37)