Denis Shapovalov vs Learner Tien Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Which player shows slightly stronger recent second serve performance? Shapovalov, with a win rate of 45.42% compared to Tien's 45.27%.
• In return game stats, Tien has an advantage on second serve returns, winning 46% versus Shapovalov's 42.65%.
• For first serve returns, Shapovalov's win percentage is higher at 27.47%, whereas Tien registers 23.37%.
• In terms of breakpoint-saving capability, Tien holds an edge by saving 53.47% of breakpoints compared to Shapovalov's 45.45%.
• Looking at their win-loss records over the past year, Tien has a slightly better win rate at 65% compared to Shapovalov's 63.79%.
• Each player has a preferred playing surface: Shapovalov excels on indoor hard courts (62% win rate), while Tien prefers hard courts (76% win rate).
• What is notable about Shapovalov's match play? He competes at a higher level, often on the Main tour, winning 75.76% of those matches against higher-ranked opponents averaging a rank of 90.57.
• Tien's competition generally features lower-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 180.55.
• In deciding sets, Tien appears more proficient with a 66% win rate compared to Shapovalov's 57% over the last year.
• Notably, both players display similar breakpoint conversion rates, with Shapovalov at 31.97% and Tien at 31.08%.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the statistical aspects of both players reveals a closely matched contest. Shapovalov marginally outperforms Tien in second serve performance, while Tien shows better results in second serve returns.

The capability to save breakpoints could be pivotal, with Tien showing superior resilience in critical moments. Furthermore, Shapovalov competes frequently against stronger opponents, which may better prepare him for high-pressure matches.

Although Tien's deciding set statistics are impressive, Shapovalov’s experience on the Main tour and his ability to win on indoor hard courts could prove crucial.

Considering all the data, the likelihood of Tien emerging victorious is slightly higher, given his consistent performance under pressure and ability to capitalize on return games.