Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve performance over the recent six months, Joao Fonseca leads with a win rate of 48.43% compared to Denis Shapovalov's 43.26%.
• With return games, Shapovalov slightly surpasses Fonseca in winning opponent's second serve points, boasting 45.73% over Fonseca's 43.31%.
• On first serve returns, Shapovalov again has an edge, recording 26.16% to Fonseca's 22.82%.
• Under pressure, Fonseca shows superior breakpoint saving ability at 59.38%, whereas Shapovalov saves 51.23%.
• Over the last year, Fonseca has a higher match-winning percentage at 72.31% compared to Shapovalov's 60.00%.
• Analyzing their best surfaces, both are equally proficient on hard courts with a 62% win rate, but Fonseca struggles more on grass at 42% compared to Shapovalov's 48%.
• Both players have significant experience on the Main tour, but Fonseca has a slightly better win percentage at 78.95% versus Shapovalov's 73.53%.
• Discussing direct head-to-head matchups, Fonseca has a 1-0 lead over Shapovalov, having won 2 out of 3 sets played between them.
• From a deciding set perspective, Fonseca is stronger, winning 74% compared to Shapovalov's 64%.
• Considering opponent quality, Shapovalov faced slightly higher-ranked players on average, ranked 92.49 compared to Fonseca's 97.92.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca presents a thrilling contest, with both players showcasing distinct strengths and challenges. Fonseca's recent impressive second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints give him a notable edge.

Shapovalov does exhibit a formidable return game advantage and a robust history on hard courts, which aligns with his competition against broadly higher-ranked opponents.

However, given Fonseca’s consistent winning record over the past year, his proficiency in deciding sets, and the minor edge in their head-to-head history, Fonseca seems slightly more favored to win this encounter.