Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Kovacevic has excelled in second serve points, winning 48.61% compared to Shapovalov’s 45.38%. Could this give Kovacevic an edge in serving stability?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Kovacevic leads by winning 47.12% of opponent's points against Shapovalov’s 42.79%. However, Shapovalov is more effective against first serves, winning 27.69% of points compared to Kovacevic's 22.18%.
• Under pressure, Kovacevic shows resilience by saving 57.48% of break points, while Shapovalov saves 44.69%. This could be crucial in pivotal game moments.
• Over the past year, Shapovalov holds a higher match win percentage (62.71%) than Kovacevic (50.72%). Is this indicative of an overall stronger form?
• Both players find the indoor hard surface favorable. Kovacevic has a 60% success rate, while Shapovalov slightly edges him out with a 62% win rate.
• On the main tour, Shapovalov shows superior performance, winning 73.53% of matches compared to Kovacevic’s 55.88%. Does this highlight Shapovalov’s higher competitive level?
• Shapovalov has faced tougher competitors, with an average opponent rank of 91.12, whereas Kovacevic’s average opponent rank is 180.59. Could this experience against higher-ranked players give Shapovalov an advantage?
• In deciding sets, Shapovalov boasts a 53% win rate, surpassing Kovacevic’s 43%. This might prove decisive if the match extends to a final set.
• Shapovalov converts 32.19% of break point opportunities effectively, compared to Kovacevic’s 28.04%. Will this conversion rate be a decisive factor?

Editorial Prediction (July 19, 2025, UTC):

The statistical comparison presents a fascinating match-up. Kovacevic demonstrates strengths in serving, especially under pressure with a solid second serve and break point saving rate, indicating resilience.

On the other hand, Shapovalov's experience against higher-ranked players and the ability to win deciding sets suggest he thrives in more competitive environments. Furthermore, his higher overall match win percentage and break point conversion rate show a slight edge in competitive tour-level performance.

Considering these factors, Shapovalov is the likely favorite to win this upcoming match due to his experience, better performance under competitive conditions, and slight advantages in key statistical areas.