Prediction of Darja Semenistaja vs Alina Korneeva at Open In Arte Angers Loire - Angers 12-01-25

• In recent second serve performance, Darja Semenistaja slightly outperforms Alina Korneeva, winning 39.54% compared to 38.99%. Could this give her a marginal edge?
• Alina Korneeva excels in returning, capturing 52.19% of second serve points, while Darja clocks in at 49.53%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Darja has the advantage, taking 36.02% of points to Alina’s 31.98%
• Under pressure, Darja Semenistaja has saved 49.17% of breakpoints; slightly better than Alina's 46.50%.
• Alina boasts a 68.18% match win rate over the past year, outpacing Darja's 62.79%.
• Darja and Alina both shine on hard courts, each with a 66% win rate.
• In tournament play, Alina's win rate at Challengers/ITF > $10K matches is 75.68%, higher than Darja's 66.20%.
• Darja faces tougher opponents, averaging ranks of 232.08 compared to Alina's 271.95.
• In deciding sets, Darja has a 62% win rate, surpassing Alina's 50%.
• Present event stats and player preferences at certain events could influence outcomes, but specific current data is necessary for a clearer prediction.

Editorial Prediction (November 30, 2025, UTC):

Given the recent statistics, Darja Semenistaja has a slight advantage in several areas, including second serve success and breakpoint saves. Though her overall match win rate is lower than Alina Korneeva's, she faces stronger opponents, suggesting a potentially higher level of competitiveness. Her first serve return capability also edges out Alina.

Alina Korneeva shows a strong performance on return games, especially when facing second serves, but struggles slightly under pressure compared to Darja. Her prowess in tournament play with a high win rate in recent months hints at her competitive nature when stakes are high.

Considering these factors, the upcoming match appears closely matched. However, Darja's stronger deciding set performance and resilience in facing higher-ranked opponents suggest she might have the upper hand. Darja Semenistaja is more likely to win this clash, but Alina's strengths could make for a thrilling contest.